Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[AtorBoltox]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

[Badger]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback.

It was surprisingly competitive and the DNC pretty much ignored the race. This seat is needed for Democrats.

It would've been nice to have but it's not needed. There are dozens upon dozens of districts that are more likely to flip than this one. Plus, many of you are highly overrating how much of a difference a few dollars from the DCCC would've made.

Not at all considering how close this was.

[Xing]

My initial prediction of Estes +8 seemed kind of generous to Thompson. Now it looks like it'll be Estes +5 or 6. Anyway, Thompson did well, and GA-06 and MT were always more promising pick-up opportunities.

[NeederNodder]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback.

It was surprisingly competitive and the DNC pretty much ignored the race. This seat is needed for Democrats.

It would've been nice to have but it's not needed. There are dozens upon dozens of districts that are more likely to flip than this one. Plus, many of you are highly overrating how much of a difference a few dollars from the DCCC would've made.

The GOP won Ted Kennedys Senate Seat in 2010 with funding and resources. Saying that funding from the DNC would've been overrated is a poor claim.

[RI]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.

[exopolitician]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

I'd wait to see how GA 6 turns out

[AtorBoltox]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.

No, but the entire country has a toxic GOP President

[Badger]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.

But in 2018 everywhere will have a toxic GOP president

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.

I want to see what happens next Tuesday before making too many predictions

[McGovernForPrez]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.

We still have a toxic president though...

[Vosem]

Not sure Thompson could do as well in a non-special election environment ("special elections are special"), but based off this performance he'd be a stellar gubernatorial or other statewide position contender for the Democrats. This district is more Republican than Kansas as a whole.

[ApatheticAustrian]

i can't imagine how any gov could screw a state more than brownback and the party has suffered nearly no loss at all on any level.

[Chief Justice Keef]

The fact that it came so close shows that a bigger push (and more money, especially) could've made the difference. That's the lesson to take from this, and if the DCCC comes back tomorrow and says "well, the populist message failed here, let's keep focusing on suburban districts" then they'll continue to lose golden opportunities like this one.

Except the parts of the district where Thompson seems to have done relatively well in are precisely the urban/suburban parts of the district, not the rural parts.

Rural = ultra-safe Trump/GOP territory.

In plenty of other rural counties outside of Sedgwick, Thompson did better than Hillary in 2016.

[Chief Justice Keef]

i can't imagine how any gov could screw a state more than brownback and the party has suffered nearly no loss at all on any level.

It doesn't help when the opposition party doesn't know how to win elections.

[Nyvin]

Butler is done

41 of 41 precincts reporting.
Vote for 1
* indicates winning candidates.
click here for detailed report
* Ron Estes (REP)   62.78 %   6937 *
* James A. Thompson (DEM)   35.32 %   3902 *

[Vosem]

Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

This is like projecting that Clinton was doomed after 1994 or Obama after 2010. There'll be a different electorate and different issues.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Thompson has done better then he had any right too

[Classic Conservative]

Twitter is having a hissy fit right now!

[MT Treasurer]

Ron Estes (Republican)            50.6%    37,547
James Thompson (Democratic)    47.6%   35,272
Chris Rockhold (Libertarian)    1.7%    1,272

[RI]

Estes lead up to 2,300 votes.

[heatcharger]

The fact that it came so close shows that a bigger push (and more money, especially) could've made the difference. That's the lesson to take from this, and if the DCCC comes back tomorrow and says "well, the populist message failed here, let's keep focusing on suburban districts" then they'll continue to lose golden opportunities like this one.

Except the parts of the district where Thompson seems to have done relatively well in are precisely the urban/suburban parts of the district, not the rural parts.

Rural = ultra-safe Trump/GOP territory.

In plenty of other rural counties outside of Sedgwick, Thompson did better than Hillary in 2016.

Not an accomplishment at all lol... look at where did better than Davis in 2014 or Obama in 2012. When compared to those results, it's not all that impressive. The places where he looks to be doing much better is Wichita, which is more reason for optimism.

[Nyvin]

Bleh,  another Sedgwick dump....Thompson went down again.

This is over.

[ApatheticAustrian]

to be totally fair, the GOP gets a boost from flying in a star like Cruz, a liberal guest would have been more of a local problem, i guess.

[LabourJersey]

i can't imagine how any gov could screw a state more than brownback and the party has suffered nearly no loss at all on any level.

It doesn't help when the opposition party doesn't know how to win elections.

The Democrats (and moderate Republicans) have won many seats in the KS legislature since 2014. I understand you have some very deep antagonisms with the Democratic party, but at least get the facts straight.

[Maxwell]

Sedgwick seems like a pretty good barometer for how someone is going to do statewide - Trump won it by 20 and then won the state by 20. Brownback edged Davis by 2 in Sedgwick and won the state by 3. Thompson looks to be winning it by 5-7 once the numbers finally get down to it.