Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[heatcharger]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback's failures.

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

The fact that it came so close shows that a bigger push (and more money, especially) could've made the difference. That's the lesson to take from this, and if the DCCC comes back tomorrow and says "well, the populist message failed here, let's keep focusing on suburban districts" then they'll continue to lose golden opportunities like this one.

Again... pay attention to where Thompson is outperforming Clinton and Davis, and to where he's not.

[Nyvin]

Stafford is done.

[Mike Thick]

It's over.

No it's not. Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

And our assumptions are based on Sedgwick narrowing substantially

[houseonaboat]

To be clear, Estes is likely gonna win by 6+. There was no opportunity here for Dems except for a moral victory. The opportunity in GA-06 (and in MT-AL), on the other hand, is very real.

[Adam Griffin]

Two-thirds of all outstanding precincts are in Sedgwick.-

[ApatheticAustrian]

the DNC atm is not caring about being populist or not but about winable races.

KS is the longest of longest shots.

[MAINEiac4434]

And there's the Estes 1,000 vote lead.

[cinyc]

It's over.

No it's not. Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

Thompson's edge in Sedgwick has fallen with every election day precinct reporting.  The election day vote is tied there, at best.  And if RI says what's out in Sedgwick is more Republican-leaning than what's in, he would know.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Hopefully Democrats see this and actually get involved in Georgia and Montana.  We're tired of being cucked!

They've been plenty involved in Georgia. Quist has a much better chance of winning in Montana than Thompson ever had here, and the DCCC starts a big push there he can definitely win.

[Angrie]

Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

But the election day vote from Sedgwick that is in so far is a totally different story than the early vote.

[Barnes]

Am I missing something or is everyone missing the fact that Sedgewick appears to be largely out and Thompson is romping there? Even given the Democratic League of early voters, I'm not sure why there's so much pessimism among Democrats right now.

Typical teenage angst.


Also, I really think any Democrat not celebrating the fact that a massive swing in a solidly Republcian district happened three months after a Republican president took office needs to pull their head out of the clouds.

[Devout Centrist]

Oh well, looks like I was wrong.

[NeederNodder]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback.

It was surprisingly competitive and the DNC pretty much ignored the race. This seat is needed for Democrats.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

United States House of Representatives 004
Precincts Reporting: 334 of 620
Candidate   Votes   %   
D-James A. Thompson   31,346   48%   
    
L-Chris Rockhold   1,079   2%   
    
R-Ron Estes   32,319   50%   
    

[Skye]

The suspense was fun while it lasted.

[Maxwell]

Thompson still has a substantial lead in Sedgwick. It's only over if that county narrows substantially.

But the election day vote from Sedgwick that is in so far is a totally different story than the early vote.

Is Estes actually winning election day Sedgwick voters?

a lot of credit has to go to James Thompson for running a fantastic campaign.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Any guesses on the final margin? Guess Estes +16 was a miss

[The Other Castro]

Any Democrats disappointed by a loss here should close there eyes for a second and take a breather. This result is fking amazing for Democrats. The kind of overperformance here is outstanding.

[heatcharger]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback.

It was surprisingly competitive and the DNC pretty much ignored the race. This seat is needed for Democrats.

It would've been nice to have but it's not needed. There are dozens upon dozens of districts that are more likely to flip than this one. Plus, many of you are highly overrating how much of a difference a few dollars from the DCCC would've made.

[Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden]

༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ THOMPSON TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ

[Axel Foley]

Well, if this has to be considered sort of a midterm preview...

[Angrie]

The fact that it came so close shows that a bigger push (and more money, especially) could've made the difference. That's the lesson to take from this, and if the DCCC comes back tomorrow and says "well, the populist message failed here, let's keep focusing on suburban districts" then they'll continue to lose golden opportunities like this one.

Except the parts of the district where Thompson seems to have done relatively well in are precisely the urban/suburban parts of the district, not the rural parts.

Rural = ultra-safe Trump/GOP territory.

[exopolitician]

Any guesses on the final margin? Guess Estes +16 was a miss

Estes by 2 or 3

[Maxwell]

Thompson almost certainly should run again in the real election in 2018.

[Barnes]

Well thanks Democrats for blowing a shining opportunity.

Lol you gotta be kidding me... this was not a shining opportunity. Let's not act like this is fertile territory for Democrats. The fact that this is even somewhat close is reflective of Trump but mostly Brownback.

It was surprisingly competitive and the DNC pretty much ignored the race. This seat is needed for Democrats.

Why? The Republcians have a forty seat majority in the House so the immediate result of this race would be irrelevant to any parliamentary moves. They also had no need for the seat when they retook the House in 2006.