Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[The Other Castro]

If the race is within 10, Thompson is probably winning Sedgwick County.

Davis lost by 6 without winning Sedgwick.

Scratch that, reverse it, I meant if Thompson is winning Sedgwick the race is probably within 10.

[Matty]

Surprised more people aren't posting in this thread right now.

[Progressive]

Hoping people keep the results in context. A D+15 swing for instance is hard for me to take as a "bad result." That being said, it saddens me that the GOP can pull off upsets like Scott Brown in Mass. and not the Dems.

[136or142]

If the race ends up within single digits, then Thompson will have had crossover appeal, but I don't know how to quantify "lots" in this case.

I think I'm starting to annoy even myself with my 'jokey' replies here, but I think this one is a fairly funny reply to this.

From the Old T.V show 'Cheers'
Sam Malone: "Woody, next time you order beer, be more specific than “lots.”"

[Matty]

Hoping people keep the results in context. A D+15 swing for instance is hard for me to take as a "bad result." That being said, it saddens me that the GOP can pull off upsets like Scott Brown in Mass. and not the Dems.

to be fair, massachusetts has a decent chunk of "business" republicans who are more than willing to vote against democrats when they have a decent republican to vote for.

[Progressive]

Hoping people keep the results in context. A D+15 swing for instance is hard for me to take as a "bad result." That being said, it saddens me that the GOP can pull off upsets like Scott Brown in Mass. and not the Dems.

to be fair, massachusetts has a decent chunk of "business" republicans who are more than willing to vote against democrats when they have a decent republican to vote for.

That's true. But I want Dems to be able to pull off upsets too. I feel like the GOP is the upset party, except for some rare instances like the Kathy Hochul old seat in NY, etc.

[136or142]

Hoping people keep the results in context. A D+15 swing for instance is hard for me to take as a "bad result." That being said, it saddens me that the GOP can pull off upsets like Scott Brown in Mass. and not the Dems.

to be fair, massachusetts has a decent chunk of "business" republicans who are more than willing to vote against democrats when they have a decent republican to vote for.

That's true. But I want Dems to be able to pull off upsets too. I feel like the GOP is the upset party, except for some rare instances like the Kathy Hochul old seat in NY, etc.

I guess the Democrats winning here depends on how 'upset' Republican voters are with the GOP.

[The Other Castro]

(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten
Rough guide of how well Dem will need to do in KS-4 by county to win. Based off 2016 prez vote. *Would be shocking if he comes close to this

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ That doesn't really make sense. Thompson needs to at least come within 2 points in every county to win? There's no reason he needs that in the counties in the district that were >80% Trump.

[The Other Castro]

^ That doesn't really make sense. Thompson needs to at least come within 2 points in every county to win? There's no reason he needs that in the counties in the district that were >80% Trump.

He clarified:

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten  1h1 hour ago
Let me clarify again (cause I'm being unclear), the center is what you should be looking at. Updated column heads.

[Classic Conservative]

Polls closed

[Progressive]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

[Badger]

^ That doesn't really make sense. Thompson needs to at least come within 2 points in every county to win? There's no reason he needs that in the counties in the district that were >80% Trump.

He clarified:

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten  1h1 hour ago
Let me clarify again (cause I'm being unclear), the center is what you should be looking at. Updated column heads.

So is Cowley sort of a bellwether county here?

EDIT: Never mind. I finally see what Enten means. I think.

[Nyvin]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Where do you see results already?

[NeederNodder]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

[Classic Conservative]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

There isn't any results, he's lying.
http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html

[Xing]

We might be waiting for a little while, folks.

[GeorgiaModerate]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

There isn't any results, he's lying.
http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html

AP doesn't have any either.  http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_state/KS_Page_0411.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Chief Justice Keef]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

There isn't any results, he's lying.
http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html

Fake news?

[The Other Castro]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

There isn't any results, he's lying.
http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html

Fake news?

It's a super close race though. Tied in fact. (0-0)

[henster]

All this hype and it will end up being a blowout, I am not getting my hopes up.

[rafta_rafta]

My prediction: GOP by 12

[The Other Castro]

OMG

[Chief Justice Keef]

First (tiny) results show Thompson leading by a wide margin:

[Devout Centrist]

Just sit tight everyone