Survey USA Poll CA (Primary): Newsom (D) 19%, Villaraigosa (D) 10%, Allen (R) 9%

[Coastal Elitist]

Latest Poll for the Governor's race has Newsom leading but with low numbers against a huge field of candidates. Almost a third of respondents were still undecided with the majority being Republican or Independent. It looks like this race has a long ways to go.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=04104c60-a299-4ed4-87a4-f9f25ff81e7d&c=37

[Coastal Elitist]

Without undecideds, the numbers look like this

Newsom - 27%
Villaraigosa - 14%
Allen - 13%

Am I missing something. I don't see those numbers.

[Coastal Elitist]

Without undecideds, the numbers look like this

Newsom - 27%
Villaraigosa - 14%
Allen - 13%

Where are you getting these numbers from? I don't see those anywhere in the Survey USA poll.

[Coastal Elitist]

Without undecideds, the numbers look like this

Newsom - 27%
Villaraigosa - 14%
Allen - 13%

Where are you getting these numbers from? I don't see those anywhere in the Survey USA poll.

It's just the %age from the SUSA poll that excludes undecideds.  You take the raw %age in the poll writeup, and divide by 0.71, since 29% are undecided.

So, for Newsom for example, the raw number in the poll writeup is 19%.  and 19% / 0.71 = 27%.  So 27% back Newsom once you exclude undecideds.

Okay I get it. I just wouldn't do that because undecideds will decide to vote for someone.

[Coastal Elitist]

Obviously, both CA-GOV and CA-SEN are Safe D, but it is very important that a Republican makes the runoff so that GOP turnout is maximized for the several competitive House districts.

I think it will be D vs R. In the latest poll Allen was 1 point behind Villaraigosa and that was with 29% of voters undecided with 37% Republicans undecided. In the Senate race I think Feinstien is going to eat up most of the Democratic vote and if the no name Republican candidates split the vote I think one of them will make it anyways. I'd like to see polls with less undecideds

Regardless I'm of the opinion that a D vs D race won't matter for Republican turnout. If the gas tax repeal makes it on the ballot it'll probably help Republicans. Also personally my family always votes even in the races that are D vs D. We all voted for Sanchez for Senate in 2016.