Results in 2004 by Metro Area (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Results in 2004 by Metro Area (search mode)
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Author Topic: Results in 2004 by Metro Area  (Read 13835 times)
Torie
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Atlas Legend
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Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: June 13, 2008, 10:52:17 AM »

What would be interesting is trying to find metros that voted Republican.

Lots of them did. Beyond nearly every one in the South, places like Phoenix, Cincinnatti, Columbus, San Diego, Salt Lake City, Indianapolis, Grand Rapids, Oklahoma City....

Milwaukee, and the Twin cities should be added. Also Omaha. And of course Dallas, Houston and San Antonio all went GOP. Columbus was about dead even as I recall. Denver needs to be checked out (does it include Boulder?).   Bush 2004 carried Nashville. I checked LA with the most expansive inclusion of counties. No dice. The Dems carried it.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2008, 04:27:21 PM »

Wow. there are a lot of counties in the Denver, MSA, but not Boulder. However, Weld isn't included either, so while Bush comes close, he loses.

                       Bush   Kerry   
arapahoe      119,475   110262   
adams            65,912    69,122   
denver             69,903  166,135   
jefferson        140,644  126,558   
douglas           80,651   39,661   
clear creek        2,522       2,989   
Broomfield       12,007      10,935   
gilpin                  1,329      1,807   
elbert                 8,389    2,834   
park                  4,781     3,445   

                   505,613    533,748    0.486
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2008, 11:09:19 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2008, 11:11:53 AM by Torie »

Bush won the Twin City suburbs in 2004, but not the MSA. I was recollecting the burbs when I made my comment I think.

                  Kerry          Bush
Total         912,069     782,047     46.16%
Minnea    -156,214     -41,633   
St. Paul     -99,851     -35,671   
         
                656,004     704,743      51.79%
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2008, 11:21:16 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2008, 11:27:02 AM by Torie »

Ya barely. Bush won the burbs by 51.79%, and Minnesota ex the Twin Cities MSA by 51.44%. 


It looks like Bush carried the Milwaukee MSA by about 10,000 votes per a back of the envelop calculation by the way.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,074
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2008, 12:56:07 PM »
« Edited: June 14, 2008, 12:57:49 PM by Torie »

And Virginia Beach should be added as Republican, very Republican.

It's always surprised me why this area is reliably Republican, given its size and location. Or isn't there a high military population?

Minnesota is one of those few places in the country left where the suburbs vote more republican than the countryside. I am sure there are more examples but Minnesota is the most obvious one.

The only other states I can think of are Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Oklahoma, though of course the latter is very Republican everywhere.

One might consider Georgia, North and  South Carolina, Louisiana and Arizona as well, off the top of my head. And oh yes, definitely Mississippi (e.g. Rankin and DeSoto counties) and Indiana (the belt of counties around Marion County, which is co-extensive with the city of Indianapolis these days, after unigov went into effect).
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