TX GOV MARIST ABBOTT +4 RV, +8 LV
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Author Topic: TX GOV MARIST ABBOTT +4 RV, +8 LV  (Read 593 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: October 11, 2022, 11:45:39 PM »
« edited: October 12, 2022, 12:04:07 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2022-election-in-texas/

GOV Abbott 49
BETO O. 45
Someone else 1
Undecided 5

Great POLL,🎃🎃
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2022, 01:01:45 AM »

It looks like polls are narrowing somewhat, which is good. If O'Rourke can keep it under 10% margin-wise he's well set up for another attempt at Cruz in 2024.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2022, 03:34:54 AM »

It looks like polls are narrowing somewhat, which is good. If O'Rourke can keep it under 10% margin-wise he's well set up for another attempt at Cruz in 2024.

He'll get one eventually!

Seriously, I'm pulling for the guy in this one but you can only lose so many times before people stop taking you very seriously.
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2022, 03:36:22 AM »

Abbott losing in November (especially in a neutral or red-leaning environment) would be up there among the biggest upsets in American politics. That being said, I still think he wins by 5 or 6 points in the end.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2022, 04:02:00 AM »

It looks like polls are narrowing somewhat, which is good. If O'Rourke can keep it under 10% margin-wise he's well set up for another attempt at Cruz in 2024.

He'll get one eventually!

Seriously, I'm pulling for the guy in this one but you can only lose so many times before people stop taking you very seriously.

Third times the charm can work, particularly against Ted Cruz. Fourth times the charm doesn't work against Cornyn.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2022, 04:27:05 AM »

LOL,
O'Rourke will never ever win a Statewide Race in Texas, not with the progressive views he has. He will have to become a Moderate like for example his fellow Texan Henry Cuellar.
Among Likely Voters Abbott leads 52-44, is over 50 % which is very bad News for O'Rourke.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2022, 07:27:37 AM »

Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2022, 08:19:14 AM »
« Edited: October 12, 2022, 08:23:10 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.

The models are predicting more R turnout which is wrong Ds outnumbered Rs 65/60 M since 2006 and won 80/75 M in 2020 and we turnout in VBM not same day voting if more Rs turnout it would be a 2010 Eday that's what it says in the poll

Common sense there are more Ds we own SF, LA, NY and Chi and 8 M people surround the metros including DC and Baltimore and DC suburbs

Rs DONOT OUTNUMBERED DS WE OWN THE 5 MOST POPULOUS METROS CHI, NY, DC-BLT, SF AND LAX

Travel the northern half and travel the Southern half Rural Americans are sparsely populated
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2022, 01:13:18 PM »

It looks like polls are narrowing somewhat, which is good. If O'Rourke can keep it under 10% margin-wise he's well set up for another attempt at Cruz in 2024.

He'll get one eventually!

Seriously, I'm pulling for the guy in this one but you can only lose so many times before people stop taking you very seriously.

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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2022, 01:44:28 AM »

Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.

As close as the 2018 senate race? Absolutely not, even if this were a blue wave year (which it won’t be).
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2022, 02:19:40 AM »

Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.

As close as the 2018 senate race? Absolutely not, even if this were a blue wave year (which it won’t be).

If this were a blue wave year Abbott would be toast.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2022, 02:48:39 AM »

Would not be surprised if O'Rourke gets as close as 2018.

As close as the 2018 senate race? Absolutely not, even if this were a blue wave year (which it won’t be).

Yeah and GRISHAM is gonna lose she is polling the same as DeWine and McMullin is now ahead of Lee you said since Center Street Pac had it 1 Lee is gonna win, WRONG HE US UP BY 4 McMullin
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2022, 08:20:59 AM »

I know it's Marist, but I still think Abbott does worse than DeSantis
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2022, 08:48:22 AM »

I know it's Marist, but I still think Abbott does worse than DeSantis

It's not out of question, but I doubt we're already there. FL is possibly too polarized for that. My current prediction is DeSantis +9 and Abbott +12. That said, a 8 pt. margin is indeed plausible and one of the better outcomes for O'Rourke.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2022, 08:50:37 AM »

Abbott isnt winning by 12 because Biden lost TX by 6 and Rubio is leading by 6 DeSantis isn't over polling FL by that much
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