FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9 (user search)
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  FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL Regions: Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor: Romney +6; Miami-Dade County: Obama +9  (Read 10801 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 28, 2012, 01:14:15 AM »

Mason-Dixon I-4 Corridor Poll
Romney 51%
Obama 45%
Undecided 4%

October 22-24; 625 LV; MoE +/-4%
 
Tampa Bay subregion
Romney 50%
Obama 46%

Central Florida subregion (Orlando & East)
Romney 52%
Obama 44%

Obama won the Tampa Bay subregion 51%-48% in 2008 - the identical margin by which he won the state.

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Mason-Dixon Miami-Dade County Poll
Obama 52%
Romney 43%

October 22-24; 625 LV; MoE +/4%

Obama won Miami-Dade County 58%-42% in 2008.

It's not clear whether Mason-Dixon conducted a statewide poll or other regional polls that may pop up on newspaper websites.
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,719


« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2012, 01:21:15 AM »

The only issue I have is that Obama lost ground among Latinos, even accounting for Cubans that's an ENORMOUS shift that really isn't being seen anywhere else.

Romney is winning Miami-Dade County Hispanics by 29 points.  He's winning Miami-Dade Cubans by a much wider margin, 76%-19%.

Obama leads I-4 Hispanics, 56%-37%.  IIRC, I-4 Hispanics tend to be less Cuban and more Puerto Rican.
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