2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Holmes]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

I think it's O'Donnell who's more easily compared to Coakley, no?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Concord is in, 10/10, and voted very narrowly for Ayotte. I'm not seeing her closing the gap, there is no big city left to suddenly dump a big margin of votes in her lap.

Nashua's all in?

[Brittain33]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

This is the second time I've seen someone seriously compare Christine O'Donnell to Scott Brown on this board. Get a hold of yourself, man. You don't know what you're saying.

[Smash255]

With more of NYC coming in Schneiderman has taken the lead in the AG race, though very little of Nassau is in.

[Brittain33]

Concord is in, 10/10, and voted very narrowly for Ayotte. I'm not seeing her closing the gap, there is no big city left to suddenly dump a big margin of votes in her lap.

Nashua's all in?

Nashua is 2/3 in and the remaining 3 precincts would have to be much more favorable to Ayotte than the previous 6 were.

[Lunar]

schneiderman took the lead

[SvenssonRS]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

This is the second time I've seen someone seriously compare Christine O'Donnell to Scott Brown on this board. Get a hold of yourself, man. You don't know what you're saying.

Yes, I do. I'm saying that if O'Donnell could win a primary against Mike Castle, she can win a general against Chris Coons, who has such pathetic name recognition. What can I say? I'm terrified of seeing O'Donnell actually get elected.

[tpfkaw]

The Republican Party is about Conservatism.  If they don't nominate conservatives, then what do they stand for? Getting old committee seats back is a decidedly uninspiring platform. That's why the parties are kept accountable by their constituents. Republicans would undoubtedly see themselves as better served in a Senate with 21 DeMints and 19 McCains than 25 McCains, 15 Browns, and 11 Castles.

[sg0508]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

Comparing Brown and O'Donnell?  Is this guy for real?

This is the second time I've seen someone seriously compare Christine O'Donnell to Scott Brown on this board. Get a hold of yourself, man. You don't know what you're saying.

[Brittain33]

But the margin in NH is only 2,000 votes (she has a 750-vote lead in Nashua with 6/9 precincts) with 3/4 of the precincts out... so I really shouldn't be making any predictions. Nor is this race worth my staying up. I'll see in the morning.

[nhmagic]

That's not true NCYank.  Denny f-in Hastert, Trent Lott, Tom Delay, Livingston, Dole, Frist (who supports Obamacare) and porker Mitch McConnell spent our way out of office, added new regulations and FDR-like invasions of freedom like the Patriot Act (which Obama quietly but enthusiastically supports).  The leadership doesn't just consist of those individuals however.  It also consists of entrenched individuals like Snowe, Collins, McCain and now Grahamnesty.  They were all working together not just to simply pass moderate policy (as something like a middle class tax cut would have been), but to add BRAND NEW entitlements and put a very liberal immigration plan together for pete's sake.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

This is the second time I've seen someone seriously compare Christine O'Donnell to Scott Brown on this board. Get a hold of yourself, man. You don't know what you're saying.

Yes, I do. I'm saying that if O'Donnell could win a primary against Mike Castle, she can win a general against Chris Coons, who has such pathetic name recognition. What can I say? I'm terrified of seeing O'Donnell actually get elected.

Coons is executive for the county with about 2/3 of the state's population. That actually makes him arguably the second most powerful person in the state after the Governor.

[Brittain33]

Yes, I do. I'm saying that if O'Donnell could win a primary against Mike Castle, she can win a general against Chris Coons, who has such pathetic name recognition. What can I say? I'm terrified of seeing O'Donnell actually get elected.

Scott Brown was appealing to all Republicans, most moderates, and some Democrats. They wanted to vote for him.

In your heart of hearts, do you think Christine O'Donnell is going to win over all those groups in Delaware? If so, why? People win primaries all the time who are unelectable in the general precisely because of the strengths that won them the primary.

[Lunar]

Maloney wins if it hasn't been said

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

In other news, Charlie Bass only leads conservative radio host Jennifer Horn by 1% in NH-2.

[Uncle Albert/Admiral Halsey]

Yeah, sure, laugh. Treat Coons as a shoo-in. Know who else did that? Massachusetts Democrats with Martha Coakley.

The arrogance of people like you will be what gets that crazy bitch elected. We'll see who's laughing then - I guarantee America won't.

This is the second time I've seen someone seriously compare Christine O'Donnell to Scott Brown on this board. Get a hold of yourself, man. You don't know what you're saying.

Clearly Thomas Dewey's going to win the election, Truman might as well give up now and save himself the embarrassment.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Can people please at least use valid analogies instead of just pulling up random come from behind victories that are not even remotely comparable?

[Progressive]

PALADINO WON!

[Sam Spade]

Yes, I do. I'm saying that if O'Donnell could win a primary against Mike Castle, she can win a general against Chris Coons, who has such pathetic name recognition. What can I say? I'm terrified of seeing O'Donnell actually get elected.

Scott Brown was appealing to all Republicans, most moderates, and some Democrats. They wanted to vote for him.

In your heart of hearts, do you think Christine O'Donnell is going to win over all those groups in Delaware? If so, why? People win primaries all the time who are unelectable in the general precisely because of the strengths that won them the primary.

Not that I disagree, but why did people want to vote for Scott Brown?  And why did the map end up looking like it did?

[Torie]

Yes, I do. I'm saying that if O'Donnell could win a primary against Mike Castle, she can win a general against Chris Coons, who has such pathetic name recognition. What can I say? I'm terrified of seeing O'Donnell actually get elected.

Scott Brown was appealing to all Republicans, most moderates, and some Democrats. They wanted to vote for him.

In your heart of hearts, do you think Christine O'Donnell is going to win over all those groups in Delaware? If so, why? People win primaries all the time who are unelectable in the general precisely because of the strengths that won them the primary.

This really isn't worth discussing. She will be destroyed. And comparing her to Brown is ludicrous - just ludicrous.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

You know MD-01 might be a good comparison.

And before everyone screams OMG 2008 DEMOCRAT YEAR please note it was in a district that voted for McCain by almost 20 points.

[Mr. Morden]

Lamontagne lead is now less than 2000 votes.

[cinyc]

Here's the final Delaware RD map (subject to a final data integrity check).  Castle is in blue; O'Donnell green:



Basically, Castle won the Wilmington area/Philly suburbs, and O'Donnell the rest of the state - even in New Castle County.

And a turnout map, using the Atlas swing redscale (% of Registered Republicans):



Suburban New Castle turnout wasn't terrible - but Castle didn't do much to get out the few Republicans who live in the Wilmington RDs.  Turnout was best in the Sussex County RDs - where O'Donnell killed him.

[Meeker]

Altschuler wins in NY-01

Grimm wins in NY-13

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

PALADINO WON!

Yay, Lazio lost!

Not that I'll be voting for that fascist Paladino either.