2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Sam Spade]

Wow, okay. I wasn't expecting to wake up to Murkowski trailing.

Also, Ben Quayle? Really, AZ-03?

Same reaction here.  Young came back from a situation like this in 08 fwiw, as ssp noted

Biggest difference is though that Young was leading after the non-absentee count by 150 votes and won after the absentees by 300.  Murkowski being down 2,000 would require a bigger shift in absentees than even Begich-Stevens, I suspect (though I haven't done the numbers).

[Lunar]

Amazing, I thought it'd be a murkowsklandslide

[tpfkaw]

I actually was predicting a narrow Miller victory - should have posted it here!

[homelycooking]

232 out of 260 precincts in from Vermont. This one could take weeks to decide.

Peter SHUMLIN 16960
Doug RACINE 16839 (-121)
Deb MARKOWITZ 16039 (-921) Markowitz has surely lost.
Matt DUNNE 14165
Susan BARTLETT 3507

Precincts remaining:

Alburg
Brighton
Brookfield
Burke
Cabot
Canaan
Dover
Enosburg
Granville
Guildhall
Hancock
Lemington
Middlesex
New Haven
Newfane
Pawlet
Plymouth
Reading
Rochester
Shaftsbury
St Albans
Tunbridge
Wells
Westfield
Weston
Whiting
Williamstown

[Eraserhead]

I actually was predicting a narrow Miller victory - should have posted it here!

I'm sure you were...

[Hash]

and genuine man who will be great for Oklahoma and bring the change to Washington that is desperately needed.

lol, you really are the kind of person that believes political propaganda.

I don't see why that's surprising. He's dense enough to buy into every scam possible already.

so, this Bartlett dude won Stowe, VT? Nice.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Good job Alaska. Send her packing along with her disgusting father four years ago.

If his lead holds, Miller will make a great Senator.

[tmthforu94]

This is too bad. Murkowski was one of my favorite Senators.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

This is too bad. Murkowski was one of my favorite Senators.

The only shame in this result is, she didn't bring Don Young down with her.

[homelycooking]

so, this Bartlett dude won Stowe, VT? Nice.

Actually, Matt Dunne won Stowe. Bartlett came in last there but won in neighboring Morristown.

Lol, Bartlett's a she.

Up to 241 precincts now. Shumlin leads Racine by 245. Still no St Albans.

Edit: St Albans city netted 15 for Racine. St Albans town not in yet.

[tpfkaw]

This is too bad. Murkowski was one of my favorite Senators.

The only shame in this result is, she didn't bring Don Young down with her.

QFT.

[??????????]

Wow, the Florida GOP epic failed with Scott. I'm sure that a Venture Capitalist who has a history of Medicare Fraud will go over REAL WELL in Florida.

Dude, you live in California.

[East Coast Republican]

Wow, the Florida GOP epic failed with Scott. I'm sure that a Venture Capitalist who has a history of Medicare Fraud will go over REAL WELL in Florida.

Dude, you live in California.

Exactly.  He lives in California-even more of a reason for him not to have any idea how this race will turn out.  I live here and I don't even know what's going to happen.  Edge goes to Sink...for now....

[??????????]

Wow, the Florida GOP epic failed with Scott. I'm sure that a Venture Capitalist who has a history of Medicare Fraud will go over REAL WELL in Florida.

Dude, you live in California.

Exactly.  He lives in California-even more of a reason for him not to have any idea how this race will turn out.  I live here and I don't even know what's going to happen.  Edge goes to Sink...for now....

They are already blasting Sink. LOL Day one after the primaries.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

I wish McCain would have lost.

[Holmes]

Does anyone think that if Hayworth had not done those infomercials, he would have won?

[East Coast Republican]

Wow, the Florida GOP epic failed with Scott. I'm sure that a Venture Capitalist who has a history of Medicare Fraud will go over REAL WELL in Florida.

Dude, you live in California.

Exactly.  He lives in California-even more of a reason for him not to have any idea how this race will turn out.  I live here and I don't even know what's going to happen.  Edge goes to Sink...for now....

They are already blasting Sink. LOL Day one after the primaries.

haha yeah I already saw that one ad about Sink laying off 'thousand of workers' done by that special interest group.  I do not know if this would be the best approach for Scott though-it could make Sink come off as a responsbile grown up/getting down to business and she could indirectly make Scott look childish and only concerned with a smear campaign.

I say Scott should spend the next 3 weeks doing a combination of playing nice/getting mccollum people back on board AND attacking Sink for whatever he can find.  After that, unleash the 50-70 million in negative and positive ads of him driving a truck.  

We're really going to see what Scott is made of in the next two months.  This whole thing seems like political fiction  It's definitely going to be an exciting AND hilarious race!!

[SPC]

Sorry to brag, but:

I suspect that Ron Johnson, Dino Rossi, Joe Miller, and Sharron Angle will also be in the Senate, and Marco Rubio will be there instead of Charlie Crist.

Intuition actually prevails for once.

[SvenssonRS]

Doesn't look like nine precincts and the absentees are going to save Murkowski. Best she can hope for is a recount, and with the gaps there's consistently been between her and Miller, I don't see that having much of an effect.

[Lunar]

Does anyone think that if Hayworth had not done those infomercials, he would have won?

Of course not.  He got buried under $20,000,000

[Oakvale]

Sad to see the Republican party is continuing its march into far-right* lunacy. Even one-time FF John McCain has had to transform into a race-baiting partisan hack.

* I mean, genuinely far right. As in, the GOP would be a fringe party in most other countries.

[Badger]

I know this question gets beaten to death after an incumbent loses a primary, but I'll ask anyway:

Is there anything prohibiting Murkowski from running as an independent? She could probably still get a large share of her personal vote, and I could easily see Democrats abandoning their official nominee, Scott McAdams, the Mayor of Sitka (pop. > 9000), to make a pro-choice, SCHIP supporting relative moderate like Murkowski the de facto Democratic nominee. Picture McAdams--who as of last month raised just under $10k---as Kendrick Meek without the core African-American support.

[Oakvale]

I know this question gets beaten to death after an incumbent loses a primary, but I'll ask anyway:

Is there anything prohibiting Murkowski from running as an independent? She could probably still get a large share of her personal vote, and I could easily see Democrats abandoning their official nominee, Scott McAdams, the Mayor of Sitka (pop. > 9000), to make a pro-choice, SCHIP supporting relative moderate like Murkowski the de facto Democratic nominee. Picture McAdams--who as of last month raised just under $10k---as Kendrick Meek without the core African-American support.

Apparently there's nothing stopping her doing so. I doubt she will, but it would make things a bit more entertaining.

[Lief 🗽]

Hopefully Murkowski runs as an independent. She was one of the few not terrible Republican Senators.

[tpfkaw]

Unfortunately for you, yucky Murkowski cannot run as an independent, due to the fact that Alaska's independent filing deadline is long since past.