Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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Author Topic: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 97453 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« on: March 01, 2016, 10:54:58 AM »

I'm predicting TRUMP sweeps everything except for Texas, and Rubio gets 2nd in almost every state except Texas and Alabama.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 11:57:23 AM »

 One can clearly tell from the photos of voters that there are many people pondering their choices and contemplating switching candidates.  Clear evidence of a surge for Kasich and Carson.

Where do you get this assumption?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 12:06:37 PM »

Friend of mine who was see-sawing between Trump-Cruz decided last minute to vote for Cruz in Mobile, Alabama, he says practically everyone at his precinct when he was there were leaning Trump or definitely for Trump.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 12:15:54 PM »

http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/texas/exit/

First Texas entrance/exit polls show Cruz leading YUGE with every demographic except the poorly educated.

2/28.....lol
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 12:19:51 PM »

With regards to Texas, polls showed Trump surging in the final days, I doubt Cruz wins with a <5% lead.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 01:00:46 PM »

Apparently CBS says it's like this in Virginia:

Trump 31.1%
Rubio 27.4%
Cruz 27.4%
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 01:04:09 PM »

Oklahoma apparently:

Cruz 32.5% Trump 30.3% Rubio 27.5%
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 01:58:41 PM »

Who will win Minnesota? Last poll had Rubio - Cruz - Trump, personally i think TRUMP will dominate with around 32-35% here.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 04:45:20 PM »

Elections officials are apparently saying turnout is strong to high in many states.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 04:59:57 PM »

Are they releasing exit polls for all the states at 5pm, or only the ones with the earliest poll closing times?

I can probably wait 2 minutes to find out.

The ones for Minnesota and Alaska won't be until much later cuz MUH CAUCUS
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 05:15:11 PM »

Early indicators from CNN are saying that new voters are coming out for Rubio and Sanders
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 05:17:12 PM »

Early indicators from CNN are saying that new voters are coming out for Rubio and Sanders

lol wat

Yuuuup
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 05:18:54 PM »

Virginia isn't angry so looks like good news for Rubio along with new voters support
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 05:24:27 PM »

So does this mean slightly better night for Rubio or nah?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 05:35:18 PM »


That's good for Rubio in Virginia
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2016, 05:42:41 PM »

So does that mean strong Kasich showing in Vermont, strong Rubio (possibly winning) showing in Virginia and strong Cruz showing in Arkansas and Texas?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2016, 05:47:09 PM »


That sounds good for RUBIO honestly, Cruz, Carson and Trump split the outside establishment, while Rubio for the most part has the experience part locked down.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2016, 06:04:27 PM »

56 minutes until Virginia, Vermont and Georgia close.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2016, 06:09:02 PM »


Truz territory?Huh?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2016, 06:11:12 PM »

My aunt picked me up from practice tonight and I asked her if she voted and she said no and then said that she didn't know who to vote for and after some persuading, we are heading to her precient and she's voting for Cruz.

Hope your car crashes

That's a bit excessive, don't ya think?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #20 on: March 01, 2016, 06:20:17 PM »

Is everyone ready for the sh** show to begin?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #21 on: March 01, 2016, 06:22:43 PM »

How many voters are asked these questions in the polls? I never get asked these questions after I vote.

Because you probably don't live in one of the handful of swing precincts hand chosen by Edison Research or whomever is conducting the network exit poll.  Decision Desk HQ had no idea in which precincts the network exit polls would be polling, but ended up picking some of the same precincts when they conducted their New Hampshire exit poll.

What value do exit polls even have, then?

They mostly  target swing precincts that have a strong history of matching the results of the state well.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #22 on: March 01, 2016, 06:25:37 PM »


That tends to look like what other polls have shown - last minute voters go for Rubio because Trump is, well, Trump. Trump voters decided they would go for him a long long time ago.

How likely does that make a Rubio win in VA?

Eh....probably not likely? Rubio needs to dominate NOVA
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #23 on: March 01, 2016, 06:29:30 PM »

Guys, don;t be delusional, TRUMP will win Virginia even if we hate it.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #24 on: March 01, 2016, 06:34:17 PM »

I'm predicting Trump gets around 34% Rubio 30% Cruz 25% Kasich 6% Carson 5% in Virginia
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