LA: Edgewater Research/Gray TV - JBE leads 50-47 (user search)
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  LA: Edgewater Research/Gray TV - JBE leads 50-47 (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA: Edgewater Research/Gray TV - JBE leads 50-47  (Read 2179 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« on: October 30, 2019, 08:10:49 PM »

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!
To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2019, 11:52:45 AM »

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!
To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.

Jefferson Parish literally swung more D from 2016 than the state as a whole.
As did most of Acadiana?
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