I think New Hampshire is firmly on the Democratic side. They are very anti-war there, and the only GOP candidate who is anti-war is Paul, who won't get nominated.
Exactly. A pro-war Bush supporter like Guiliani, Romney or Thompson is not going to win here.
I get the impression that NH is economicaly conservative socially liberal, but not totally anti-war, just anti-Bush and the Iraq war. If we had never gone into Iraq and instead just stuck with the mission of finding and killing Osama bin Laden, I think NH would be what it was in 2000, a pure swing state at mimnimum slightly GOP lean?