Predict the 2024 election

[Grassroots]

It's fascinating to me that so many Blue Avatars here are convinced Trump will hang on to the Rust Belt.

2000 was the last time the Democrat garnered fewer raw votes than Trump 2016 in MI and WI (2004 for PA), so why in the world would he be assured to keep them while losing the White House?

Because of overall trends. The rust belt states are trending republican at a fast rate as the sun belt trends toward democrats. The reason for this is republicans becoming more populist and in some ways economically liberal.

[Grassroots]

The demographics of Maine are very similar to the surrounding states except for New Hampshire. The white liberals are the most progressive out of all of the liberals. Maine is over 90% white and currently has a Democratic trifecta.

My trolling isn't good because it is non-existent. I genuinely believe that this can happen as long as people choose freedom over free stuff.

So...you're actually...serious? You actually think HAWAII will flip before Maine?

I'm actually serious. How many times do I need to say "that anything can happen". It will take a miracle but it is possible. Even the most solid red states can elect Democrats in certain conditions. Look at Doug Jones.

Yeah, but, um, presidential elections are national elections, and it's highly unlikely that Hawaii will flip before Maine given that Maine is 15 points more Republican than Hawaii.

It is highly unlikely, but it can happen. Nixon and Reagan won Hawaii.

That was decades ago. The political situation has changed grandpa.

[Grassroots]

Texas will not go blue in 2024.  Arizona can, Georgia might, but not Texas.  Trump is just the worst thing ever for Texas.

As much as I hate for it to be true, the 2018 senate election may prove differently.

[Grassroots]

I predict a landslide re-election of the incumbent Democratic president, whomever he or she may be.

Dream big, maybe you will lose by a little less!