Anyone thinks its possible NC 03 could be closer than NC 09. Im not predicting that but I wouldn't be shocked, special elections are whack. Ga 6th should have been a gimme for the D's just like PA 12th in 2010 but both failed yet SC 5th was close on the same night.
I'm doubtful about that. NC-9, contrary to NC-3, has a significant population of white liberals, these voters are fired-up, including for unconsequential low turnout special elections, it's the main reason why McCready is in a good position, the democratic electorate in NC-3 on the other hand is mostly composed of black voters who are unlikely to storm the polls in order to vote in a special election. Murphy will win easily but NC-9 will be close.