Kaplan Strategies: Trump up In the swing states
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  Kaplan Strategies: Trump up In the swing states		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Kaplan Strategies: Trump up In the swing states  (Read 1154 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
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« on: April 26, 2024, 08:55:22 AM »
« edited: April 26, 2024, 10:15:32 AM by MR DARK BRANDON »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2024, 08:59:53 AM »
REAL
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Redban
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2024, 09:02:16 AM »
C'mon OP, post the crosstabs so the poll un-skewers can get to work
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Senator Incitatus
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2024, 09:10:34 AM »
TRUMP will win New York
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2024, 09:20:30 AM »
Yeah sure
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2024, 09:22:54 AM »
Congrats, Kaplan, you've just won the Sure.jan Award of the entire week.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2024, 09:23:41 AM »
538 added these.... oh

2022 all over again lol
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2024, 09:25:43 AM »
Michigan going #FullOhio?
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KakyoinMemeHouse
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2024, 09:29:19 AM »
Had to pull some numbers out of their arse to save Trump in the aggregates huh? Lol
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2024, 09:31:40 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on April 26, 2024, 09:23:41 AM
538 added these.... oh

2022 all over again lol

It's 2020 all over again, with the sides reversed. Trump probably is favored to win, but we're getting buried in fake polls trying to convince us that polarization is over in America and millions of Democrats are interested in supporting the Republican Party because they're tired of liberal extremism. Whatever. If you believe that a presidential candidate is winning Michigan by 15 then you don't understand the American electorate. No one has learned anything since 2016.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2024, 09:33:02 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on April 26, 2024, 09:31:40 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on April 26, 2024, 09:23:41 AM
538 added these.... oh

2022 all over again lol

It's 2020 all over again, with the sides reversed. Trump probably is favored to win, but we're getting buried in fake polls trying to convince us that polarization is over in America and millions of Democrats are interested in supporting the Republican Party because they're tired of liberal extremism. Whatever. If you believe that a presidential candidate is winning Michigan by 15 then you don't understand the American electorate. No one has learned anything since 2016.

I'm not sure 2020 polls were ouright fake, just not conducted very well. WA-Sen 2022 seems a better comparison.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2024, 09:49:19 AM »
Trump isn't up 15 in MI
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kwabbit
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« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2024, 09:53:24 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on April 26, 2024, 09:23:41 AM
538 added these.... oh

2022 all over again lol

It’s a wack poll but they are rated ok by 538. Where do you draw the line to exclude? The Pennsylvania and Arizona polls aren’t that extreme, but the WI and MI polls are. Do you only let in some, even though they’ve been conducted with the same methodology? It’s a new regime at 538 and Morris has a different approach than Nate Silver and he still includes them. A good polling average will discount outliers anyway.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2024, 10:02:36 AM »
Oh well. We really are going to put Trump back into office. I guess this country deserves whatever happens next.
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #14 on: April 26, 2024, 10:04:12 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on April 26, 2024, 10:02:36 AM
Oh well. We really are going to put Trump back into office. I guess this country deserves whatever happens next.
Mate this is a major outlier lol
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kwabbit
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« Reply #15 on: April 26, 2024, 10:07:36 AM »
Quote from: MR DARK BRANDON on April 26, 2024, 10:04:12 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on April 26, 2024, 10:02:36 AM
Oh well. We really are going to put Trump back into office. I guess this country deserves whatever happens next.
Mate this is a major outlier lol

Can you change the title of the thread? The brandonposting should be for the replies not the topic itself.
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Agafin
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« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2024, 10:10:48 AM »
Every poll by a reputable org should be added to the average, that's kinda the job of aggregators. But yeah this has major 2020 vibes (in the opposite direction). No candidate is winning Michigan by 15 points even in a landslide.
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RI
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« Reply #17 on: April 26, 2024, 10:13:39 AM »
« Edited: April 26, 2024, 10:20:51 AM by RI »
Finally, a poll without the FRAUD
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2024, 10:16:07 AM »
Quote from: kwabbit on April 26, 2024, 10:07:36 AM
Quote from: MR DARK BRANDON on April 26, 2024, 10:04:12 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on April 26, 2024, 10:02:36 AM
Oh well. We really are going to put Trump back into office. I guess this country deserves whatever happens next.
Mate this is a major outlier lol

Can you change the title of the thread? The brandonposting should be for the replies not the topic itself.
This better?
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kwabbit
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« Reply #19 on: April 26, 2024, 10:23:05 AM »
Quote from: MR DARK BRANDON on April 26, 2024, 10:16:07 AM
Quote from: kwabbit on April 26, 2024, 10:07:36 AM
Quote from: MR DARK BRANDON on April 26, 2024, 10:04:12 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on April 26, 2024, 10:02:36 AM
Oh well. We really are going to put Trump back into office. I guess this country deserves whatever happens next.
Mate this is a major outlier lol

Can you change the title of the thread? The brandonposting should be for the replies not the topic itself.
This better?

Yes that is better lol. I just don’t think polling thread titles should be editorialized, no matter how questionable the result.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: April 26, 2024, 10:23:32 AM »
Such a waste of money to poll Trump ahead 15 in MI which will never happen

They need to polls Congress instead of polling the same state over and over again we get no WV polls and MD polls

They poll the same three states every day
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dspNY
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« Reply #21 on: April 26, 2024, 10:52:39 AM »
Trump up 15 in Michigan and 10 in Wisconsin? Trash. They shouldn't even be posted
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: April 26, 2024, 11:01:56 AM »
As I said before the polls are trying to give Trump a bump after so many polls show him behind
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Vern
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« Reply #23 on: April 26, 2024, 11:11:46 AM »
Well, to say that is polls are off is and understatement. While I do believe Trump is leading currently in these states, it’s not by these margins.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #24 on: April 26, 2024, 11:32:52 AM »
Trump isnt ahead in MI, PA and WI Marist +3
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