Mississippi results thread

[WalterMitty]

i never would have guessed that there is a county in ms that is 95% white...well apparently tishomingo county is...

[Sam Spade]

Obama has probably won all 4 CD's but CD-1 is tight.

Do you have the numbers in front of you at present, because I'm kinda slow in counting right now.  CD-1 and CD-4 were the ones I was curious about.

[Torie]

i never would have guessed that there is a county in ms that is 95% white...well apparently tishomingo county is...

I think that was the one pro union county in Mississippi back when.

[© tweed]

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 

Erc has TX +3 Obama.  I don't see why he'd need to 'counterweight' a victory.

according to Erc's total, Obama entered tonight down 6 in March, which he should net in Mississippi.  so it'll be a draw.  and draw = Obama win at this point.

There was Ohio; I was referring to March 4.  A draw is not a win; Obama needs to shut the race down; he's failed and PA is coming up.  It's going to be a long six weeks.

spin any harder and you'll corkscrew yourself right into Hillary's ass

[Torie]

Obama has probably won all 4 CD's but CD-1 is tight.

Do you have the numbers in front of you at present, because I'm kinda slow in counting right now.  CD-1 and CD-4 were the ones I was curious about.

I am looking at the county results map versus the CD county map, and making judgments. It is not on the level of spreadsheating it, but just eye balling it. Obama won the casino counties on the Gulf Coast which was key in CD-4. The McCain drain was just too large for Clinton. It is also threatening her in CD-1, because of the McCain drain  in DeSoto at least, but that CD per eye balling it looks skin tight.

Edit: Someone willing to spreadsheet CD-1 will probably know the winner  now. DeSoto is now all in, and Clinton only won by 8%. Lowndes was big for Obama, 3-1, with a few more votes cast there than in DeSoto.

[Flying Dog]

Washington Co. along with the rest of Jackson and a few random rural black counties should push Obama up another point or two.

[Meeker]

Did anyone else see Spitzer's law professor try to spin away his actions on CNN a half-hour or so ago? It was pretty hilarious

[Democratic Hawk]

Is Delbert Hoseman off his trolley?

Common sense should have told him that turnout in the Democratic primary would way exceed 150,000 to 200,000

Dave

[Torie]

Did anyone else see Spitzer's law professor try to spin away his actions on CNN a half-hour or so ago? It was pretty hilarious

I largely agree with Dershowitz as to the legal merits, but not the political merits.

[John Dibble]

hermaphrodites are a sex, not a gender.

Uhm, Harry, sex and gender are the same thing. I know you're from Mississippi and all, and it's kind of understandable given all the inbreeding that goes on in your state, but most people would know that.

[Meeker]

As was to be expected, the MS-01 contest has tightened and Davis and McCullough are now basically tied at 38%. Both will advance to the run-off. Meanwhile in MS-03 Ross has earned a spot in the run-off while Harper and Landrum continue to battle it out for the second slot.

[exopolitician]

59-39


60% GOGOGO!

[Flying Dog]

59-39 83%

[J. J.]

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 

Erc has TX +3 Obama.  I don't see why he'd need to 'counterweight' a victory.

according to Erc's total, Obama entered tonight down 6 in March, which he should net in Mississippi.  so it'll be a draw.  and draw = Obama win at this point.

There was Ohio; I was referring to March 4.  A draw is not a win; Obama needs to shut the race down; he's failed and PA is coming up.  It's going to be a long six weeks.

spin any harder and you'll corkscrew yourself right into Hillary's ass

You are one that called it a draw.  I said Obama could have ended this by a 1 delegate win on 3/4/08 (his third try).  At best, he can draw for March.  PA is coming.

[7,052,770]

hermaphrodites are a sex, not a gender.

Uhm, Harry, sex and gender are the same thing. I know you're from Mississippi and all, and it's kind of understandable given all the inbreeding that goes on in your state, but most people would know that.

wrong, sex is what you biologically are, gender is what you think of yourself as.

[© tweed]

Now, does Obama even win the month?

he won Texas and probably only lost March 4th by a handful of delegates, so I'd venture to say yes

I'm not sure what TX net was, but MS was suppose to serve as a counterweight (with WY). 

Erc has TX +3 Obama.  I don't see why he'd need to 'counterweight' a victory.

according to Erc's total, Obama entered tonight down 6 in March, which he should net in Mississippi.  so it'll be a draw.  and draw = Obama win at this point.

There was Ohio; I was referring to March 4.  A draw is not a win; Obama needs to shut the race down; he's failed and PA is coming up.  It's going to be a long six weeks.

spin any harder and you'll corkscrew yourself right into Hillary's ass

You are one that called it a draw.  I said Obama could have ended this by a 1 delegate win on 3/4/08 (his third try).  At best, he can draw for March.  PA is coming.

how does Hillary go about ending it then?  you're holding them to completely different standards - Hillary wins big by merely staying afloat, but Obama is raped because he hasn't locked it up.

[John Dibble]

hermaphrodites are a sex, not a gender.

Uhm, Harry, sex and gender are the same thing. I know you're from Mississippi and all, and it's kind of understandable given all the inbreeding that goes on in your state, but most people would know that.

wrong, sex is what you biologically are, gender is what you think of yourself as.

As much as you might like to go with a politically correct definition, if you put "female" on a job application next to "Gender" and they find out you've got a penis and not a vagina I'm pretty sure you'd have some problems with your employer.

[Meeker]

AP calls the IN-07 race for Carson 53% to 44% with 78% reporting

[Erc]

The white-majority districts in MS (1, 3, and 4) are 5 delegates a piece...so whoever wins them gets 3 to the loser's 2 (no-one's breaking 70%).

CD 2 is 7 delegates, which requires Obama to get 64.3% of the two-way vote to win.

Scanning this thread, it seems that Obama's won CDs 3 & 4, no question...

Any further updates on the margin in CDs 1 & 2?

[Torie]

The white-majority districts in MS (1, 3, and 4) are 5 delegates a piece...so whoever wins them gets 3 to the loser's 2 (no-one's breaking 70%).

CD 2 is 7 delegates, which requires Obama to get 64.3% of the two-way vote to win.

Scanning this thread, it seems that Obama's won CDs 3 & 4, no question...

Any further updates on the margin in CDs 1 & 2?

It will be 3-2 in CD 3 and 4, and I suspect CD-1 as well, although it will be very tight in CD-1. In CD-2 Obama will certainly get more than 64.3%. It is probably more than 70%.

[Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon]

hermaphrodites are a sex, not a gender.

Uhm, Harry, sex and gender are the same thing. I know you're from Mississippi and all, and it's kind of understandable given all the inbreeding that goes on in your state, but most people would know that.

wrong, sex is what you biologically are, gender is what you think of yourself as.

In Mississippi, sex is what you have with your sister.

[Meeker]

I don't see a single county he lost in CD-02

[Alcon]

% black for remaining counties:

Claiborne (12k): 84% - Obama landslide
George (19k): 9% - Clinton landslide
Holmes (21k): 79% - Obama landslide
Kemper (10k): 58% - Strong Obama
Leflore (38k): 68% - Very strong Obama
Noxubee (13k): 69% - Very strong Obama
Perry (12k): 23% - Fairly strong Clinton
Washington (63k): 65% - Very strong Obama

I doubt Clinton can get more than 40% of the vote in the 0% areas.  Other than that, uh...she's got a few votes left in Hancock County.  That's pretty much it.

[Reaganfan]

Whoever thought the Democrats would have a primary so racially divided?

[Sam Spade]

Obama has probably won all 4 CD's but CD-1 is tight.

Do you have the numbers in front of you at present, because I'm kinda slow in counting right now.  CD-1 and CD-4 were the ones I was curious about.

I am looking at the county results map versus the CD county map, and making judgments. It is not on the level of spreadsheating it, but just eye balling it. Obama won the casino counties on the Gulf Coast which was key in CD-4. The McCain drain was just too large for Clinton. It is also threatening her in CD-1, because of the McCain drain  in DeSoto at least, but that CD per eye balling it looks skin tight.

Edit: Someone willing to spreadsheet CD-1 will probably know the winner  now. DeSoto is now all in, and Clinton only won by 8%. Lowndes was big for Obama, 3-1, with a few more votes cast there than in DeSoto.

By my math, Clinton's is ahead by about 2,000 votes in CD-01 and I suspect what's out will cancel itself out, unless the tiny sliver of Winston is actually worth something.

Once all the counties are in, I'll recheck my numbers.