Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread

[Matty]

Calling it now: trump wins AZ by a larger margin than NV

[Matty]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

the exact opposite is true.

[Matty]

are there a lot of latino republicans in AZ?

[Matty]

dude, if this exit poll showed trump up big, you would be all over it. Why the downplay?

[Matty]

dude, if this exit poll showed trump up big, you would be all over it. Why the downplay?

Because it's not an official one? Because it is not Maricopa?

ok but if that site is correct and had their prediction at trump +8, that is significant is it not?

[Matty]

the exit poll does not have cruz leading the county, only prescott valley. the county is tie.

[Matty]

I've had a feeling that Cruz will pull off an upset tonight, and the Yavapai exit poll seems to confirm that feeling.  Let's see what happens.

It's a random exit poll from a random paper, don't put too much stock in it.

What would it take for you to stop being so "bullish" on trump? I like your anti-trump views and efforts, but it seems too often you have lost hope and are hopeless about defeating him.

[Matty]

I don't know why people are forgetting that 70% of the electorate has already voted. I can't imagine a small newspaper has the ability to take them into account.

70?? That seems hard to believe. And it doesn't jive with reports of massive lines.

[Matty]

If Cruz happens to upset tonight, I wonder if Trump will have a meltdown.

I think that this was the worst possible time for an upset -- it'll be drowned out by coverage of the Brussels attack.

Arizona is still a WTA state, and delegates are still delegates even if they don't provide media momentum.

True that. However, media momentum leads to more delegates as well.

You really think so? It seems like "momentum" has been utterly useless this election. e.g. sanders after michigan, rubio after iowa, etc.

[Matty]

The race is gonna be decided in Maricopa county for the most part, I don't see any reason why Trump doesn't lose here since Arpaio and Brewer endorsed him.

do endorsements matter though?

[Matty]

People seriously think Trump could lose AZ? The state is tailor made for him.

no, but when you are starving any little slice of meat is intriguing,.

[Matty]

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[Matty]

Cruz will win UT, the question is if he finishes over or under 50%

based on the 20 or so people tweeting out their caucus results, i'd say well over 50%.

He's breaking 75 in many places.

[Matty]

man utah looks 75% cruz based on people tweeting their caucus results. more and more tweets and they are all massive, hillary-mississippi level margins if not larger.

[Matty]

damn rubio at 18% early voting.

[Matty]

didn't these newtworks learn from la?

[Matty]

hope these idiotic rubio voters learn their lesson.

so frustrating that people mail sh**t in so early in a volatile primary.

[Matty]

some of these margins being reported on facebook out of utah caucus.

cruz could be approaching puerto rico level victory.

[Matty]

will rubio get 20% in early vote in wisconsin?

[Matty]

Has there been any tweeted reports of caucus results that show Cruz under 50%?

yes, someone tweeted results out of a centerville caucus

kasich 57 votes, cruz 54 votes, trump 8 votes.

[Matty]

First results coming in from UT:

cruz   1,505   
62.0%
0
trump   568   
23.4%
0
kasich   354   
14.6

this doens't jive with the twitter reports that had kasich in second everywhere. hmmm

[Matty]

DDHQ calls for cruz

[Matty]

None of Salt Lake City is in - I suspect that drowns out whatever numbers Trump has currently.

SLC is least mormon area and will be trump's best showing.

[Matty]

None of Salt Lake City is in - I suspect that drowns out whatever numbers Trump has currently.

SLC is least mormon area and will be trump's best showing.

The Salt Lake City suburbs have a ton of Mormon voters, and a lot of the non-Mormons are Democrats.  The county voted Romney, remember.

the suburbs,yes, but the city will vote for trump over cruz. we have seen it everywhere.

[Matty]

cruz down to 59%!