Official March 4th Results Discussion Topic (user search)
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Trilobyte
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Posts: 397


« on: March 05, 2008, 12:25:57 AM »

Momentum would be important if Pennsylvania was next week. It's not; it's in April. By the time Pennsylvania votes, any momentum from today will have been completely forgotten, and Obama will still have a 150+ delegate lead.

And Hillary has to eat two big losses before it.

I don't think Wyoming and Mississippi will make much of an impact on Pennsylvania. Clinton suffered through eleven straight losses and still managed to pull out what looks like a double-digit victory in Ohio and tie Obama in Texas. Apparently, she has some skills that Giuliani lacks. Ultimately, the demographics of Pennsylvania will decide the winner, although, realistically, I think the result there will be close, probably within five percentage points.

If Obama can eek out a win in the Texas Primary, I think it'd be a huge boost. That way he can essentially claim a 50-50 split on March 4th.

I agree, and if some new revelation surfaces from the Rezko trial, Obama could be in for weeks and weeks of unfavorable news, offsetting his momentum from wins in WY and MS.
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