If George continues to grow then the black vote + moderation of white suburbs could deliver Georgia. Arkansas is an absolute crap state that probably wouldn't vote for Obama if he was the best president since Lincoln.
Why do you say that about Arkansas? I don't really know much about the state and I'm probably biased because I have some good friends who are from Arkansas. I just thought that it might go blue because they have 2 democratic senators and the Arkansas democratic party appears to be very strong. I was actually surprised to see how bad Obama did there.