History shows Hillary unlikely to win

[The_Doctor]

But playing along with Litchman's keys:

Party Mandate: R (gains in 2014)
Incumbency: R (Incumbent president not running again)
Third Party Challenge: D (None likely)
Short Term Economy: D (tentatively) (The recovery has been gaining steam and GDP growth has been up)
Long Term Economy: Undecided (dependent on 2015)
Policy Change: R
Scandal: R (there have been notably the healthcare rollout)
Foreign/Military Success: Undecided (we haven't seen anything yet)
Incumbent Party Charisma: Undecided (How does one classify Hillary's charisma?)
Challenging Party Charisma: Undecided (We don't know the GOP nominee or even what he'll end up behaving like/his or her reception among voters)

I count 4 keys to flip the White House, 2 key to retain the White House, and 4 undecided.  If I did it right?

[Devils30]

I think the GOP will be doomed if Jeb is the nominee and can't explain what he'd do differently than his brother. Hillary would absolutely hammer him on that and there really isn't a desire for another Bush despite what the Washington Times may tell you.

[Devils30]

The scandal part should be undecided too, there really hasn't been anything close to Watergate, Lewinsky with Obama.

[Devils30]

People are also saying, Hillary will do better with working class whites than Obama but will lose because she wont get turnout. Obama won by 4%, if she merely equals Obama with the WWC she is winning the general election. Simple demographics.