CO: Rasmussen: Udall only ahead by 3

[Sam Spade]

Does any pollster have more Republican-friendly weights than Scotty?

Rasmussen doesn't weigh his state polls.

As far as I can tell, his national polls weight to his monthly partisan figures.  Alcon, correct me if I'm wrong on this?

[Sam Spade]

I expect to hear a chorus of something on this, but if we want to be reasonable, of the seats that stand a chance of flipping, only one is assured of that right now - VA.

I say that NM is assured of flipping, mainly because Pearce is not the right candidate and this is a state I understand, but that margin will narrow quite a good bit from what the last polls said before election time.  NM pundits themselves interestingly give Pearce better odds than I do - why I don't know.

In the rest of the questionable seats - which is everything out of my safe column - there is much yet to be decided.  If the election were held today - it would be Dem +4-6 (probably more towards four because I have my gut feelings on Alaska), but that can and will move.