Washington state megathread

[RI]

Inslee sweeps King 58-35!

Yeah but anyone could tell you that. King easily erases McKenna's statewide lead. It honestly might not even be that close.

[RI]

All counties have first wave in.

Inslee 46.78%, McKenna 42.93%
Cantwell 55.78%, Baumgarner 30.24%
Koster 43.72%, DelBene 23.33%, Burner 14.60%

[RI]

In my local LD (10), two incumbents are squaring off against each other. It's currently Bailey 50.28%, Haugen 49.72%. Doesn't mean much, but still very close.

[RI]

Thank god for King county. I was getting worried about Gonzalez until results from King (75-25 in favor of Gonzalez) came in. Any reason he was so weak in the rest of the state?

Those are some incredibly polarized results. Wow.

[RI]

I'm going to make up some statewide maps real fast.

[RI]

[RI]

Cool!  Can I make the legislative maps?

Sure.

[RI]

Here's a few more statewide maps:

[RI]

In the latest episode of "SW Washington's results are confusing," Democrat Rob Hill, who ran for Governor on platform solely consisting of taxing cigarettes more, received 12% in Clark, 17% in Cowlitz, 13% in Klickitat, 16% in Skamania, and 12% in Wahkiakum.

I thought SW Washington was almost irrationally anti-tax?

[RI]

So what does teal blue and red mean on that map?

Teal blue are seats not up for election, I believe.

[RI]

I wonder why John Koster did noticeably worse on the vote to fill the unexpired one-month term than in the primary overall.

There were several more candidates on the one-month term ballot, including another Republican and a member of the "Democrat" Party. That doesn't account for all the shift though.

EDIT: Oh, I got it. The districts were different. The short-term ballot was still for the old WA-01 in Kitsap, Snohomish, and King.

[RI]

I posted this in another thread, but I think it's relevant (because it's about Washington of course, and it's good news):

I work with a lot of local economic indicators in my research internship, and I'm seeing a lot of positive signs [in the housing market] here in Washington as well. The latest housing data that we work with came out today, and it looks like housing prices bottomed during the first quarter of this year statewide and in most major cities. Second quarter numbers are pretty uniformly on the upswing. Statewide housing worth had its largest single quarter increase in at least a decade.

[RI]

With the latest update, Island County is now in McKenna's column.

[RI]

Is it just me, or are Democrats slipping in Whitman?

Democrats typically do better there in the general than in the primary. I think it's because WSU is on break during the primary, though I could be wrong.

[RI]

Oh, hey RealisticIdealist: Did you expect this Tom Riggs guy to pull 49.4% in the 10th?  People around here didn't have that race on their radar.  (also, looks like Haugen's in serious trouble this year)

I can't explain it. I did not expect him to do so well at all. In fact, I think I encouraged my dad (we generally talk about these things) to vote for Hayes as I assumed he'd win, and Hayes had a much stronger resume. I mean, it was a park ranger going against a veteran high-ranking sheriff. I guess Riggs is also the president of the Island County Chamber of Commerce, but he didn't advertise that too much. They were both from Camano, but Riggs is winning Island County despite the naval base. Looking at the precinct results, Riggs won both Camano and Whidbey, with 50.3% and 50.9% respectively, and Island is where most of the votes came from, which is why it was close despite losing both Snohomish and Skagit. I wouldn't sleep on Riggs winning in November; he'll have at least two more votes.

As for Haugen, yeah, I don't expect her to win. Bailey's pretty popular around here, especially in Snohomish. The race could tighten a bit in November, but a five-plus point margin is going to be hard to erase.

[RI]

I really want precinct maps for SoS and Auditor in King and Pierce.

[RI]

Alcon, you flipped the colors for Facebook? How could you betray us like that?

[RI]

Alcon, where did you get the Pierce County shapefile? I can make some multi-candidate maps.

[RI]

Here's SoS. Blue is Wyman, Red is Drew, Green is Nickels, Yellow is Kastama, and Orange is Murray

[RI]

Supreme Court Pos. 9 race. Red is McCloud, Blue is Sanders, Green is Hilyer, and Yellow is Ladenburg. Ordering is based on statewide results.

[RI]

Auditor. Red is Kelly, Blue is Watkins, Yellow is Miloscia. Pridemore didn't win any precincts.

[RI]

Any other requests?

[RI]

Any other requests?

Would Dem-only versions of SoS and Auditor be doable? You get to see more patterns that way.

Sure.

[RI]

Here's SoS as if it were a Dem closed primary. Same colors.

[RI]

Here's Auditor. It was a rout for Kelley.