OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread...
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Author Topic: OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread...  (Read 28734 times)
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« on: August 01, 2005, 04:21:27 PM »
I guess Ill go first.  Ive followed this race just as close if not closer than anyone on this board.  Ive donated a total of 50 dollars to the Hackett campaign (Hey, its a lot for a broke college kid from Dundalk, MD Wink ).  Ive heard from what I consider reputable sources that this election will be decided by GOTV.  Im probably gonna' catch a lot of flack for this prediction...  Maybe Ill be called a partisan hack or a complete nutjob, but Im going with...

Hackett - 50.7
Schmidt - 49.3
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2005, 04:36:07 PM »
57-43 Schmidt
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2005, 04:37:49 PM »
55/45 to Schmidt
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2005, 04:53:39 PM »
This is going to be a very close race either way.  Hackett is a strong candidate who has run a good campaign.

I think it will be within 4-5 points no matter who wins. I won't make a prediction.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2005, 04:57:17 PM »
As much as I would quite like to see Hackett pull it off, I'll be stunned if he does.
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Sarnstrom
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2005, 06:06:58 PM »
54% Schmitt
46% Hackett

But I wouldn't be that surprised if Hackett were to win.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2005, 06:07:39 PM »
Quote from: Scoonie on August 01, 2005, 04:53:39 PM

I think it will be within 4-5 points no matter who wins. I won't make a prediction.

Puss.  Wink
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2005, 06:18:50 PM »
« Edited: August 01, 2005, 06:21:06 PM by nickshepDEM »
Regardless of the outcome you have to hand it to the left-wing blogs.    They have raised a ton of money for Hackett.  Without them he would have never stood a chance.  Just today Swing State Project called for $30,000 to help with GOTV efforts... We delivered $50,000+.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: August 01, 2005, 06:21:26 PM »
Quote from: nickshepDEM on August 01, 2005, 06:18:50 PM
$30,000 to help with GOTV efforts... We delivered $40,000+.

There's too much money in US Politics right now... what are the total fundraising figures for both candidates?
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nini2287
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« Reply #9 on: August 01, 2005, 06:24:06 PM »
I think the race will either be a surprise close Hackett upset or a relatively comfortable (56-44 or so) win for Schmidt.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #10 on: August 01, 2005, 06:29:25 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Al on August 01, 2005, 06:21:26 PM
There's too much money in US Politics right now... what are the total fundraising figures for both candidates?

Not sure.  The NRCC dumped $500,000 into this race.  The netroots alone have raised $500,000+ for Hackett.
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Max Power
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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2005, 06:34:03 PM »
Schmitt- 52.87%
Hackett- 47.13%
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #12 on: August 01, 2005, 06:58:55 PM »

Alright!

Hackett by 1.5%!! I'll be the optimist today.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #13 on: August 01, 2005, 07:00:07 PM »
Quote from: Attorney General Al on August 01, 2005, 06:21:26 PM
There's too much money in US Politics right now... what are the total fundraising figures for both candidates?

The majority of Hackett money is from small donor individuals. That's a good thing. That's how democracy should be.

The vast majority of Schmidt money is from corporate PACs and the RNC.
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: August 01, 2005, 07:12:44 PM »
When is this race?
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2005, 07:13:58 PM »

Tomorrow. Where you been?
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #16 on: August 01, 2005, 07:19:35 PM »
I'm really surprised at the total lack of polling data.  Looks like the polling organizations are either too lazy to bother themselves with a congressional special election, or are already seeing it as decided in Schmidt's favor.
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Jake
dubya2004
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« Reply #17 on: August 01, 2005, 07:20:53 PM »
Forgive Alcon, he forgot to pay attention to a already finished congressional race Tongue Not everyone has built their life around a race between a female GOP hack and a Michael Moore pawn.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2005, 07:21:04 PM »
Schmidt 54/Hackett 46
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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #19 on: August 01, 2005, 07:22:09 PM »
Schmidt - 53
Hackett - 47
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King
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« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2005, 07:23:28 PM »
HACKETT 99%
SCHMIDT 1%

HACKETT IS GONNA WIN IN A LANDSLIDE AND DEMS WILL TAKE BACK THE WHOLE COUNTRY LOLOLOLOLZZZZ!!!!!!!1111
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Nation
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« Reply #21 on: August 01, 2005, 07:27:02 PM »
Quote from: Senator A.J.* King IV on August 01, 2005, 07:23:28 PM
HACKETT 99%
SCHMIDT 1%

HACKETT IS GONNA WIN IN A LANDSLIDE AND DEMS WILL TAKE BACK THE WHOLE COUNTRY LOLOLOLOLZZZZ!!!!!!!1111

You need to have a talk with Archie Bunker.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #22 on: August 01, 2005, 07:29:40 PM »
Quote from: Joe Republic on August 01, 2005, 07:19:35 PM
I'm really surprised at the total lack of polling data.  Looks like the polling organizations are either too lazy to bother themselves with a congressional special election, or are already seeing it as decided in Schmidt's favor.

Excuse my ignorance, but aren't the polling organizations hired by the campaigns? I don't think Hackett's campaign wanted to waste unneccessary money to get poll results.

And I think Schmidt's campaign DID some polling but didn't release the results to the public. Supposedly the results indicated a tight race and that's why the RNC recently kicked in $500,000 for TV ads.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #23 on: August 01, 2005, 07:31:59 PM »
Quote from: Scoonie on August 01, 2005, 07:29:40 PM
Excuse my ignorance, but aren't the polling organizations hired by the campaigns? I don't think Hackett's campaign wanted to waste unneccessary money to get poll results.

And I think Schmidt's campaign DID some polling but didn't release the results to the public. Supposedly the results indicated a tight race and that's why the RNC recently kicked in $500,000 for TV ads.

Thats the word on the street.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #24 on: August 01, 2005, 07:35:04 PM »
« Edited: August 01, 2005, 07:39:42 PM by nickshepDEM »
Quote from: Jake on August 01, 2005, 07:20:53 PM
Forgive Alcon, he forgot to pay attention to a already finished congressional race.

You dont drop $500,000+ into a race like NRCC did a couple weeks ago if the election is finished.
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