National Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 311995 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #75 on: October 23, 2012, 04:48:19 PM »
Damn, there are a lot of tracking polls going on now...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #76 on: October 23, 2012, 04:57:01 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 23, 2012, 04:50:25 PM
The ABC poll has Romney up by only 0.07. It's actually 48.51 to 48.44.

And that's an LV poll.

Where do you see that?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #77 on: October 23, 2012, 09:22:03 PM »
Quote from: Mister Twister on October 23, 2012, 09:18:50 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 23, 2012, 09:06:55 PM
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 23, 2012, 09:03:46 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 23, 2012, 09:02:19 PM
Quote from: Governor-elect Scott on October 23, 2012, 08:46:43 PM
Intrade's not looking great tonight, probably because of today's polls.

Obama is currently below 55%. 

This was explained already in another thread.

You don't understand.  Someone is selling Obama.  His numbers are dropping faster than Romney's are gaining.

You seem like a man who knows what he's talking about. So come straight with me - is there ANY chance Obama wins this election? Or should I just give up?

Hahaha.

You may want to look back at some of the "wisdom" JJ dispensed during the 2008 election (Wisconsin primary being particularly amusing) before you go soliciting his take on things.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #78 on: October 24, 2012, 12:37:03 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 24, 2012, 12:33:22 AM
The pollsters are basically using a Jim Crow voter screen for their LV numbers.


lol
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #79 on: October 24, 2012, 12:31:47 PM »
HUGE Obama surge on Gallup today:

Obama Approval: 53% (+2)

Obama Disapproval: 42% (-3)

Registered Voters:

Obama 48% (+1)

Romney 47% (-1)

Likely Voters:

Romney 50% (-1)

Obama 47% (+1)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #80 on: October 24, 2012, 12:43:19 PM »
Rasmussen:

Romney 50% (nc)

Obama 46% (nc)

Swing state tracking:

Romney 50% (nc)

Obama 46% (+1)

It sounds like a debate bump may be on the way:

Quote
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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #81 on: October 24, 2012, 12:54:17 PM »
And so...

PPP:

Obama 48 (+1)

Romney 48 (-1)

UPI:

Obama 49 (+1)

Romney 47 (-1)


Obama is having a very big day. Early signs of a debate bounce? Natural tightening? It certainly can't have anything to do with the Murdock story yet.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #82 on: October 24, 2012, 01:33:20 PM »
RAND:

Obama 49 (+1)

Romney 45 (-1)

Pro-Obama movement in every poll today except Rasmussen which basically admitted there will be pro-Obama movement tomorrow.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #83 on: October 24, 2012, 01:34:40 PM »
Quote from: Senator Duke on October 24, 2012, 01:32:57 PM
Has Gallup ever been this far off? I know they are not what they used to be, but predicting a 4-5 point win for the challenger and then the president wins would be just awful.

Well, they're only +3 now.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #84 on: October 24, 2012, 01:37:48 PM »
Just waiting for Reuters/Ipsos and ABC/Washington Post now, I guess.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #85 on: October 24, 2012, 05:04:17 PM »
Still waiting on ABC/Washington Post though. When does that usually come out?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #86 on: October 25, 2012, 07:08:57 PM »
Today looks like a big win for no-mentum.

By the way, is it me or are we getting way fewer non-tracking national polls this year than we usually get?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #87 on: October 26, 2012, 11:16:08 AM »
Quote from: Yank2133 on October 26, 2012, 11:13:50 AM
ABC/Washington post

Obama-48(+1)
Romney-49(-1)



Nice! Gallup and Rasmussen are still in la la land. I was worried about this one though...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #88 on: October 27, 2012, 01:45:36 PM »
No change in Gallup's LV or RV polls today.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #89 on: October 28, 2012, 04:52:50 AM »
PV/EC split is becoming more and more likely.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #90 on: October 28, 2012, 04:57:38 AM »
Quote from: Former President Polnut on October 28, 2012, 04:55:05 AM
While I still hope Obama will eek out a small PV win, I would bet money on a split.

Eh, watching Republicans suddenly become champions of electoral reform will be pretty hilarious... I kind of want to see it.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #91 on: October 28, 2012, 12:34:22 PM »
ABC/Washington Post updated but there wasn't any change to their last numbers.

Romney 49%
Obama 48%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #92 on: October 28, 2012, 01:24:11 PM »
These tracking polls probably only have another day or two of being worth anything with Sandy coming...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #93 on: October 28, 2012, 03:56:22 PM »
Quote from: dirks on October 28, 2012, 03:51:05 PM
Quote from: Cliffy on October 28, 2012, 03:07:42 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 28, 2012, 12:34:22 PM
ABC/Washington Post updated but there wasn't any change to their last numbers.

Romney 49%
Obama 48%



"NumbersMuncher ‏@NumbersMuncher
WaPo tracking poll (through Friday) has Romney up 1, 49-48. Romney leads indys by 16 and on economy by 7. Sample moved from D+4 to D+6. "




Good thing that sample changed Roll Eyes

Disgraceful attempt to try and skew towards Obama. Even with a completely unrealistic D+6...romney still leadds!


How many times are you guys going to have to have the whole Party ID thing explained to you?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #94 on: October 29, 2012, 02:53:28 AM »
Quote from: Lief on October 29, 2012, 12:09:24 AM
BREAKING: IDB/TIPP POLLING SUSPENDED INDEFINITELY DUE TO HURRICANE SANDY

They all need to follow suit. National polling is going to be useless for the next week imo.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #95 on: October 29, 2012, 02:04:45 PM »
Haha, Gallup's crappy poll is saved by the bell. Good decision though.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #96 on: October 29, 2012, 04:24:00 PM »
Will ABC/WP keep polling after today though? They probably shouldn't.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #97 on: October 30, 2012, 01:11:00 PM »
It's very dumb for him to try to poll today.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #98 on: October 30, 2012, 04:57:47 PM »
What Democrats think Obama is a lock to win? I certainly don't.

Favorite? Probably. Lock? No way.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #99 on: October 31, 2012, 08:02:11 PM »

Well, that's unfortunate.
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