Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Rococo4]

Since everyone here seems to like and respect him (even though I retain my doubts), this is what Nate Silver says Gallup and Rasmussen look like:

Gallup
Wednesday: Obama +7.8
Thursday: Obama +2.4
Friday: McCain +4.2

Rasmussen
Wednesday: Obama +4.9
Thursday: Obama +3.8
Friday: Obama +0.3

More on his opinion here:

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/09/06/today-s-polls-the-bounce-cometh.aspx

the guy knows no more than anyone here.....

[Rococo4]

I wonder if the recovery of the stock market on Friday will have an impact. It was massive world wide.

impact yes but smaller than the fall.

id say that is correct

[Rococo4]

i might have a stroke

[Rococo4]

not a textbook year for polling i would say

[Rococo4]

i know its been said, but i just want to reiterate how BS it is that gallup is doing 3 different numbers.  i cant believe they are being allowed to get away with it.  sure, turnout is hard to predict, but that is their job.