ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,102
Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: May 14, 2019, 08:17:50 AM » |
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Colorado.
We're talking about Trump +9 with a majority vs Clinton +5 without a majority right? And in Iowa's case, the trend is greater for Republicans than Colorado is for Democrats. I don't know why that's so insane to presume.
But this all depends on what people think will happen. If most people believe 2020 is going to be some Democratic blowout (+7-10 points in the PV), then yeah, Iowa is more likely to flip.
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