But we've already established today that your guesses, predictions and assumptions are not grounded in reality.
No, we've just established you can't answer the question and try to divert it by attacks.
There are several questions that have been raised, i.e. why hide the fund raising that has been good (and that a number of people have said was announced poorly), why is McCain in Iowa and why was Obama in Philadelphia?
My guess is that the answers are based on internal polling.
Your first question has been answered at least a dozen times on here today including 3 times by me. And you've ignored each answer. Regardless, you've harped on for the past week that Obama's fundraising was poor and that's been dismissed as the deluded rants of a partisan hack quite emphatically today. Only a complete imbecile would try to spin $150m raised in a month as some sort of botched campaign PR.
McCain's in Iowa because it's a Bush state and he has to at least give the pretence that he's competitive there even if he isn't because it's embarrassing otherwise. Obama's in Pennsylvania because it has 21 electoral votes and he can't lose if he holds Pennsylvania with the way the electoral map looks.
All of the polls have Obama up double digits in PA. All of them. But if you want to ignore them and instead use an appearance last week as a sign than Obama's in trouble there because it somehow fits in the narrative you've been peddling then I'm not going to argue because you're quite clearly not sane.
Good night.
Presidential candidates usually visit states for three reasons:
1) Fund raising
2) Their internal polling shows that they have a shot at winning the state
3) Their internal polling shows that their support is soft and might lose the state.
McCain's internals show he is "only" trailing in Iowa by single digits. I suspect that both candidates' internals show Pennsylvania is closer than the public polling, depending on the turnout model.
I doubt Obama's September fund raising was as terrible as J.J. thinks. Obama is waiting until he is legally required to release fund raising totals for a reason - why tip your hand early when you don't have to? It would be foolish for him to do so.
