How would the previous county vote in the previous hypothetical election?
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  How would the previous county vote in the previous hypothetical election? 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: How would the previous county vote in the previous hypothetical election?  (Read 562 times)
TransfemmeGoreVidal
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« on: February 19, 2021, 01:33:06 PM »
Fairfield County, Connecticut in a Sanders vs Trump race in 2016
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2021, 07:21:01 PM »
Bernie would've won by maybe 56-43.


Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana in a Hillary Clinton vs John McCain 2008 race (running mates are Evan Bayh for Clinton and Sarah Palin for McCain).
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Starmerite2024
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« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2021, 02:33:54 PM »
55-43.8 for McCain

Trumbull County, Ohio in a Sanders v Trump 2016 race (running mates are Brian Schweitzer for Sanders and Mike Pence for Trump).
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2021, 03:16:37 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2021, 03:21:29 PM by theflyingmongoose »
Bernie 49-48 (this place voted for Obama in 2012 by 22 POINTS, and Bernie and Trump's differing populist tendencies cancel eachother out.

Contra Costa County in a Kasich vs Sanders 2016 race (rich county with liberal tendencies).
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2021, 07:56:52 PM »
I think Bernie wins it 60-36 or so, he does a lot worse there than Hillary for sure, but I don't think he falls below 60%


Essex County, Vermont in a Bush vs. Dean Race in 2004
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Starmerite2024
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« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2021, 08:48:57 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2021, 09:22:06 PM by Starmerite2024 »
53-45 in favor of Bush, don't think Dean does much better than Kerry since Dean didn't even win Essex County in his last two gubernatorial reelections

Mingo County, West Virginia in a 2008 matchup between Clinton/Chet Edwards v McCain/Palin
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2021, 01:41:15 AM »
« Edited: February 21, 2021, 01:45:07 AM by Tucker/DeSantis 2024 »
65-27 for Clinton. She would've won WV too.



Miami-Dade County, Florida in a 2016 matchup between Bernie and Trump.
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TransfemmeGoreVidal
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« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2021, 02:18:14 AM »
« Edited: February 21, 2021, 02:22:51 AM by Asenath Waite »
54-37 for Bernie. The fear mongering about Socialism helps Trump but both lose votes to Gary Johnson as well. I don't think Trump would do as well there under 2016 conditions as he did in 2020.

Manhattan (County of New York) in a Rockefeller-Dole vs Carter-Mondale race in 1976, Rocky having succeeded Ford after he was killed by Squeeky Frome.
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2021, 10:57:21 PM »
I’m going to say about a 62-37 win for Carter, I may be underestimating Rockefeller’s appeal in the county, but I think things would be more polarized and that he would still be unpopular like Ford was for most of his term (Though not nearly as much as his lowest lows)



Travis County, Texas in a Gore vs. McCain matchup in 2000
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EEllis02
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« Reply #9 on: February 23, 2021, 05:43:22 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2021, 05:47:29 PM by Tucker/DeSantis 2024 »
I think Bush mainly won it due to him being a "favorite son", but I imagine it may still be close due to Nader and the Austin liberals. I'll say Gore wins 46-43; could be more or less.


Nueces County, Texas (Corpus Christi) in a Clinton vs Cruz 2016 matchup. Trump won this county by a margin 1.5% in real life so I'm curious as to how it would go with Cruz rather than Trump.
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If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
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« Reply #10 on: February 23, 2021, 06:05:13 PM »
Cruz +4.5

Somerset County, MD, in a Clinton vs Giuliani 2008
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Starmerite2024
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« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2021, 08:29:08 PM »
Giuliani 51.1-46.5

Van Buren County, TN in a Clinton/Bayh v Romney/Frist 2008 matchup
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Proud Houstonian
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« Reply #12 on: March 07, 2021, 12:06:12 PM »
Fairfeld County CT Bernie wins
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