My premature 2022 prediction with gut feelings

[hyouzel the predictor]

DC is admitted some time in early 2022, giving Dems a solid majority of 52-50 before the midterms. Biden maintains high popularity throughout his first term as state and some federal GOPers begin to completely double down on conspiracy theories and QAnon, leading to a huge revolt in the suburbs and a breaking of the tradition of midterm backlash. I expect the PV to be something like D+4 or so, allowing Fetterman and Barnes to flip the open seats.  In Wisconsin, the GOP nominee looks like the clear winner but the race ends up being closer than FL 2018, and is heavily disputed in court. Fetterman wins by higher than expected by maintaining SEPA margins while superboosting rural Dem turnout in Western PA. Ohio is unexpectedly close, within 3 points, as Tim Ryan runs an excellent campaign against Jim Jordan. In NC, the race is about a 2 point margin as the GOP candidate, Mark Walker, successfully attacks Jeff Jackson with a sex scandal blown out of proportion. In GA, Collins runs for Governor and primaries Kemp while Marjorie Taylor Greene runs against Warnock for Senate. Both win by unexpectedly large margins as well. The closest senate races were NH, NV, and WI, all won by Dems within 0.5%.

This is going to age horribly but idc lemme be optimistic

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am so glad that WI isnt Lean R, so many pollsters have it lR and WInpoll shows Johnson at 35 percent

He needs to retire,already, NC and OH will depend on our recruits

[Epaminondas]

Thanks for the Feel Good prediction. Sure as heck implausible that Wisconsin flips, but reading this soothes the soul.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Very optimistic but still within a realistic range.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Now, that Jeff Jackson is in, NC will go blue

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Very optimistic but still within a realistic range.

Polls show Ron Johnson at 35 percent

Your 2020 map was very optimistic too with FL, NC and ME going Democratic and it didn't happen

[hyouzel the predictor]

OC agrees with me so this must be true

[Xing]

Well, I hope that you're right, but Democrats would need to get very lucky for this map to happen.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, I hope that you're right, but Democrats would need to get very lucky for this map to happen.

Also, the Rs would be lucky to get Progressive Moderate R dream map, the Election is 2 yrs out

[Tekken_Guy]

DC is admitted some time in early 2022, giving Dems a solid majority of 52-50 before the midterms. Biden maintains high popularity throughout his first term as state and some federal GOPers begin to completely double down on conspiracy theories and QAnon, leading to a huge revolt in the suburbs and a breaking of the tradition of midterm backlash. I expect the PV to be something like D+4 or so, allowing Fetterman and Barnes to flip the open seats.  In Wisconsin, the GOP nominee looks like the clear winner but the race ends up being closer than FL 2018, and is heavily disputed in court. Fetterman wins by higher than expected by maintaining SEPA margins while superboosting rural Dem turnout in Western PA. Ohio is unexpectedly close, within 3 points, as Tim Ryan runs an excellent campaign against Jim Jordan. In NC, the race is about a 2 point margin as the GOP candidate, Mark Walker, successfully attacks Jeff Jackson with a sex scandal blown out of proportion. In GA, Collins runs for Governor and primaries Kemp while Marjorie Taylor Greene runs against Warnock for Senate. Both win by unexpectedly large margins as well. The closest senate races were NH, NV, and WI, all won by Dems within 0.5%.

This is going to age horribly but idc lemme be optimistic

This sounds like liberal wishcasting. Jordan is not running for senate because he will be Judiciary Chairman. They’re also not flipping Pennsylvania and DEFINITELY aren’t winning Wisconsin.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

WI-Sen will vote to the left of NC-Sen

Mark my words.