NH: WMUR/UNH: Ayotte up

[Skye]

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2015_fall_senate100515.pdf

Ayotte 45
Hassan 43

Also, favorables:

Hassan 52/26
Ayotte 47/28

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[Skye]

Ayotte should be up by double digits right now. Hassan hasn't even started campaigning and Republicans usually do very well in the early polls. Leans D.

Incumbency probably plays a role that puts Ayotte in the lead, but I wouldn't call it a leans D when the democrat has trailed in the last few polls. You yourself criticize dem hacks here who like to ignore when polls don't favor them, don't be like them.