Harper Polling (R): Landrieu leads Cassidy by 5

[Tender Branson]

46-41 Landrieu

Conducted:  April 6-7, 2013
Sample Size:  541 Likely Voters
Margin of Error :  +/-4.21

http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/hp-13-04-06-la-toplines.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Also interesting:

Q: Do you support or oppose legalizing gay marriage?

21% Support
60% Oppose

Might explain her reluctance on supporting it (before November 2014).

[Tender Branson]

The 2004 Louisiana referendum was 78-22 in favor of banning gay marriage.

PPP's latest poll was 59-29 in favor of a ban.

Hard to say which figure is more likely these days, PPP's or Harper's ...

[Miles]

56% still don't know about Cassidy. Thats going to be the key.

New Orleans was underpolled. Voters from CDs 1 and 2 only made up 25% of the total.

[krazen1211]

: In an election for United States Senator, who would you prefer to vote for: the Republican
candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Republican 46%
Democrat 40%
Not Sure 14%



We'll see how far that name goes.

[DrScholl]

Being up by five in a Republican poll is good news for Landrieu and a likely voter poll at that.

[Miles]

Blacks are only 23% of the sample...even in 2010, they made up 27% of the electorate.

[old timey villain]

Also interesting:

Q: Do you support or oppose legalizing gay marriage?

21% Support
60% Oppose

Might explain her reluctance on supporting it (before November 2014).

That's a lot of undecideds though

[Badger]

Being up by five in a Republican poll is good news for Landrieu and a likely voter poll at that.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

: In an election for United States Senator, who would you prefer to vote for: the Republican
candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Republican 46%
Democrat 40%
Not Sure 14%



We'll see how far that name goes.

This certain Democrat that's up for re-election has a moderate record, and she's known for fighting for Louisiana regardless. For now, being up in a poll by 5 in a Republican poll where blacks and people from New Orleans were undersampled is good news.