Emerson* 10/10 - 10/12 625 LV 4.2 41 48 Heller +7
If the election was in 2 days, maybe you'd have a case to make.
During the race people change their minds.
Literally nothing happened in the final 3 weeks of the Nevada Senate race to change any minds, let alone that many. Occam's Razor says the poll was simply way off, as most Nevada polls tend to be (see post #26.)
A ‘Kavanaugh bump’ is boosting GOP Senate candidates – but its impact on Trump’s ratings is unclear
Published Sat, Oct 13 2018 • 10:45 AM EDT | Updated Mon, Oct 15 2018 • 7:59 AM EDT
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/13/kavanaugh-bump-is-boosting-gop-senate-candidates-but-trump-is-a-different-story.htmlexactly same time.