House Districts where the General Election matters (user search)
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  House Districts where the General Election matters (search mode)
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Author Topic: House Districts where the General Election matters  (Read 2595 times)
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« on: December 23, 2012, 09:36:32 AM »

Bob Gibbs would definitely be vulnerable against the right type of Democrat (a conservative from Holmes County who is very much a rural candidate isn't an ideal fit OH-7).  VA-4 could be competitive in a Presidential year if the Democrats actually ran a strong candidate for a change.  NC-9 could well be competitive by the end of the decade.  AR-2 could be competitive with a strong Democrat, especially as an open seat.  IN-8 is a competitive district, but Crooks proved to be a disappointing candidate (maybe John Gregg or Weinzapfel could run?).  CA-16 and CA-21 are potentially competitive districts, but weren't in 2012 b/c of recruiting failures.  CA-7 and definitely CA-31 are competitive districts.  NV-3 should be competitive throughout the decade, Oceguera turned out to be a pretty weak candidate.

Seats that could be competitive as open seats: NC-3 (tough, but possible with the right candidate), OH-10 (if SC-7 is on here), FL-27, MN-3, WA-8, KS-3, and maybe NM-1.

Miscellaneous: I don't think MD-6, MN-8, OR-5, and AK at-large are competitive districts, tbh.  Also, IA-2 is a Dem seat and MN-2 is a Republican one, btw.

Just my thoughts, excellent idea though Smiley
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