2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin  (Read 41419 times)
S019
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Posts: 18,334
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Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« on: June 24, 2020, 09:45:01 PM »

 Here's my guess for a fair or compromise map


https://davesredistricting.org/join/29383921-93cb-4acb-90e6-77fead359fd7
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,334
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2021, 02:42:06 AM »

I never expected partisan fairness, at the very least though, hopefully they can reduce the county cuts present since you can draw a far cleaner 6-2 that is mostly the current maps but with some county cuts switched around. The most egregious of these of course is the nonsensical arm of WI-01 into Waukesha County that clearly only exists to grab GOP votes.
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,334
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2021, 01:51:00 AM »

So I drew a map ignoring partisanship and focusing only on CoI. (Senate map isn't complete yet but should be pretty easy since it's just combining three Assembly districts each into one Senate map.)

It's still pretty bad for the Democrats. PlanScore gives it a 9.7% R Efficiency Gap and predicts the Democrats would only win 37% of the seats with 49% of the vote.

There are 45 solid Trump districts, 37 solid Biden districts, and 22 "competitive" ones, DRA defines "competitive" as in the 45-55% range so a lot are still pretty solid. It also has 46 solid Walker districts, 32 solid Evers districts and 21 "competitive". I'm a bit shocked because I would've expected Evers' coalition to be better for Democrats.

There are three Evers/Trump districts (24, 27 and 58) and three Walker/Biden districts (47, 53 and 87.) So the three Evers/Trump are in the driftless and two mostly rural seats north of Madison, and the Walker/Biden ones are in a suburban area southeast of Appleton, Sheboygan and the surrounding areas and one right south of Milwaukee.

Here's the Trump/Biden map:





Do you have a link to the map? How many seats did Biden win total?
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