2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 167791 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2025 on: October 22, 2020, 01:54:21 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2026 on: October 22, 2020, 10:32:09 AM »
This is more like it!
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xavier110
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« Reply #2027 on: October 22, 2020, 10:38:21 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 22, 2020, 01:54:21 AM


Big if true. The affluent suburbs are collapsing for the GOP.

Schweikert is a uniquely bad incumbent bc of the ethics issues but Tipirneni should not win this race. She will not out run or match Biden or Kelly here. So if she’s winning, Biden is swinging the district by 12-15 points or something outrageous.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2028 on: October 23, 2020, 09:24:30 AM »
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2029 on: October 23, 2020, 09:26:52 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 23, 2020, 09:24:30 AM


Good news. Biden seems more committed than certain moderate heroes to showing unity and hopefully they follow his lead.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2030 on: October 23, 2020, 09:31:44 AM »
Finello outraised Fitzpatrick 2:1 in PA-01... could be an upset brewing here.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2031 on: October 23, 2020, 10:05:05 AM »
« Edited: October 23, 2020, 10:13:20 AM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 23, 2020, 09:31:44 AM
Finello outraised Fitzpatrick 2:1 in PA-01... could be an upset brewing here.



Scott Wallace pumped literally millions into this district and still lost. Yes, he was a terrible candidate, but Fitzpatrick is also very strong. He hung on while Wolf and Casey carried this district by double digits.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2032 on: October 23, 2020, 11:35:45 AM »
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VAR
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« Reply #2033 on: October 24, 2020, 12:00:17 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2020, 12:04:31 PM by VARepublican »
RMG Research poll of Montana coming soon

Quote
PoliticalIQ.com will have more from the Montana survey later this weekend, including a bit of a surprise in the race for Montana’s lone Congressional seat.  In 2016, Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Montana by nearly 20%. Montana has 3 Electoral Votes.

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/24/mt-trump-50-biden-46/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=mt-trump-50-biden-46
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Stuart98
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« Reply #2034 on: October 24, 2020, 12:04:57 PM »
Implies Williams will be ahead. Not surprising, she was leading in a bunch of polls including some that had Daines leading in the senate race, though more recent ones have had Rosedale beating her narrowly.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #2035 on: October 25, 2020, 08:44:41 PM »
Trouble in NC



Not good Bob
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2036 on: October 26, 2020, 07:01:18 AM »
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2037 on: October 26, 2020, 07:10:41 AM »
Hotline House Power Rankings:
1. GA-07
2. MN-07
3. TX-23
4. NM-02
5. IN-05
6. OK-05
7. AZ-06
8. NY-11
9. MO-02
10. NY-22
11. TX-22
12. TX-24
13. NJ-02
14. CA-21
15. NY-02
16. OH-01
17. NE-02
18. PA-10
19. SC-01
20. CA-25
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2038 on: October 26, 2020, 09:00:19 AM »
I'm kinda shocked NM-02 is so high up.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2039 on: October 26, 2020, 11:13:19 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 26, 2020, 09:00:19 AM
I'm kinda shocked NM-02 is so high up.

The list is RDRDRDRDRD which sounds way too cute and clever to be realistic.
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Gracile
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« Reply #2040 on: October 26, 2020, 12:41:28 PM »
Not sure what districts he's referring to, but this seems significant:
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2041 on: October 26, 2020, 01:02:57 PM »
Quote from: gracile on October 26, 2020, 12:41:28 PM
Not sure what districts he's referring to, but this seems significant:



The 12 that Cook has on the board: TX-02, TX-03, TX-06, TX-07, TX-10, TX-21, TX-22, TX-23, TX-24, TX-25, TX-31, TX-32. Wonder which districts are seeing the hardest swings towards Biden.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2042 on: October 26, 2020, 03:03:11 PM »
The sample size among those has to be so small though that I doubt it's even really relevant.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2043 on: October 26, 2020, 03:10:41 PM »
GCB updates:

Civiqs - Dem +9 (53-44)
https://civiqs.com/results/vote_house_generic_2020?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

YouGov - Dem +13 (54-41)
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fsf95uprtd/20201026_yahoo_coronavirus_tabs.pdf
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Stuart98
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« Reply #2044 on: October 27, 2020, 10:33:10 AM »
Burgess Owens illegally raised $135,500 from donors who had maxed out their contributions already.
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Storr
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« Reply #2045 on: October 27, 2020, 05:43:40 PM »
lmao
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2046 on: October 27, 2020, 06:27:31 PM »
GOP clearly worried about Titanium Safe R Brian Fitzpatrick...
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2047 on: October 27, 2020, 08:55:00 PM »
Is this likely to be the last NRCC buy? And is CLF doing another?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2048 on: October 27, 2020, 09:45:15 PM »
Actually, per Twitter, CLF is doing some spending, mostly on direct mail, in the following races:

Defense:
AR-02
CA-25
FL-15
KS-02
MO-02
NC-08
NC-11
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
OH-01
PA-01
TX-10
TX-22
TX-24
VA-05

Offense:
CA-21
CA-48 (also includes some TV ads)
IA-01
MN-07
NJ-07
NM-02
NV-03
NY-22
SC-01
UT-04
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2049 on: October 28, 2020, 12:54:53 AM »
Republicans primarily on the defensive now in the House. Including spending millions on defending "Safe" "moderates" in CA-25 and PA-01. Nice to see!
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