NV Emerson: UTDH +7 (user search)
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  NV Emerson: UTDH +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV Emerson: UTDH +7  (Read 5501 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« on: October 15, 2018, 08:09:28 AM »
« edited: October 15, 2018, 08:20:10 AM by Zaybay »

Emerson, long time no see. Still making polls, huh. Interesting, interesting.

Call me a skeptic or a hack, but I have some doubts about this Emerson poll.

Edit: Just thought I would mention it, but Emerson is currently giving Dean Heller a better chance to win than Ted Cruz.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2018, 08:22:27 AM »

Emerson, long time no see. Still making polls, huh. Interesting, interesting.

Call me a skeptic or a hack, but I have some doubts about this Emerson poll.

Edit: Just thought I would mention it, but Emerson is currently giving Dean Heller a better chance to win than Ted Cruz.

This poll last month had Sisolak up 10

That doesnt help Emerson's case...
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2018, 08:27:40 AM »

Emerson, long time no see. Still making polls, huh. Interesting, interesting.

Call me a skeptic or a hack, but I have some doubts about this Emerson poll.

Edit: Just thought I would mention it, but Emerson is currently giving Dean Heller a better chance to win than Ted Cruz.

This poll last month had Sisolak up 10

That doesnt help Emerson's case...


Why would a pollster have such huge swings?
Its Emerson, thats why.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 08:39:57 AM »

Is Emerson known for being too D friendly or just generally wrong?

just generally being wrong. They always get widly wrong results by either
A. Having 40% undecided
B. Having wildly crazy margins and crosstabs that give a terrible top result

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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2018, 09:19:09 AM »

Here are some of the other polls they got:

Governor: Laxalt (R) 46, Sisolak (D) 41

NV-1: Titus (D-inc) 50, Bentley (R) 20

NV-2: Amodei (R-inc), 23 Koble (D) 16

NV-3: Lee (D) 41, Tarkanian (R) 39

NV-4: Horsford (D) 36 Hardy (R) 34
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2018, 11:03:27 AM »
« Edited: October 15, 2018, 11:06:50 AM by Zaybay »


This I how the pollsters have been burned in the past here.

If this is true, that they didnt bother to poll in Spanish in fricken NV, then this poll is automatically garbage and Emerson should just quit as a pollster at this point.
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