IA-TCJ Research: Bachmann far ahead of Pawlenty, Romney only 3rd

[Tender Branson]

33% Michele Bachmann
13% Tim Pawlenty
12% Mitt Romney
  7% Ron Paul
  5% Herman Cain
  4% Newt Gingrich
  2% Rick Santorum
  1% Jon Huntsman
<1% Gary Johnson
23% Undecided

1000 Likely Voters, MoE = 4%, 7/14- 7/15

http://www.theconservativejournalblog.com/2011/07/18/tcj-research-714-715-michele-bachmann-leads-iowa-caucus-mitt-romney-falls-into-third/

[Tender Branson]

this poll may be crappy.

As were their final 2010 polls.

They predicted:

Angle+6
Raese+5
Buck+3
Fiorina+2
Rossi+2

Tancredo+2

(they all lost to the Democrats, sometimes by wide margins)

Johnson+14
Toomey+6
Kirk+5

These guys won, but their margin is way overblown.

Coons+5
Blumenthal+5

They underestimated them by almost 5-10%.

...

Bottom line: You cannot trust TCJ. It´s a completely crappy polling outfit.