The 2022 Midterms do NOT foreshadow Biden's 2024 win (user search)
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  The 2022 Midterms do NOT foreshadow Biden's 2024 win (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2022 Midterms do NOT foreshadow Biden's 2024 win  (Read 1386 times)
soundchaser
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Posts: 2,566


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

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« on: April 27, 2023, 05:35:44 PM »

I understand that lower-propensity Republicans will be voting in large numbers in 2024 and that changes things (though it also completely ignores that turnout will be higher for Democrats too)
To this point: Republicans had a turnout advantage in 2022. That's unlikely to be repeated in 2024.
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soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,566


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2023, 06:10:18 PM »

I understand that lower-propensity Republicans will be voting in large numbers in 2024 and that changes things (though it also completely ignores that turnout will be higher for Democrats too)
To this point: Republicans had a turnout advantage in 2014 22. That's unlikely to be repeated in 2016 24.

We know what happened next.
Trump won Independents? 2016 was not a turnout victory.
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