Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: October 13, 2012, 04:54:14 PM » |
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It isn't that 'amazing'. Challengers usually win the first debate and get bumps. In the case of Mondale he was so far behind it didn't change the race. Perot and Clinton got bumps against Bush Sr. Bush Jr got a bump against Gore (who was kind of an incumbant). With Kerry he went from 6 behind to 2 behind, putting him back in the game but he wasnt able to build on it. Romney essentially got the same kind of bump as Kerry, but he was only 3 behind so in his case the debate put him ahead (in the national polls). I actually pointed out that possibility before the debate. While I didnt expect Obama to do as badly as Bush in 2004, it was clearly a possibility.
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