GEORGIA SENATE -
52% (R) Chambliss
47% (D) Martin
the Libertarian in that race is going to get a few points and may keep Chambliss under 50%, which would lead to a runoff
That would be the likely result of the runoff, where there is no black candidate at the top of the ticket inspiring the forces of black racial tribalism and white guilt to drive big Democratic turnout.
I tend to think so too, and can't remember the last time a Democrat won a run-off in the South. That said, the examples of Travis Childers and Ciro Rodriguez stand out. I think if by some chance McCain won, I would lean it slightly to Martin, as Bonilla proved, an incumbent in a runoff, no matter how weak the opposition, has problems.
