Where the remaining votes are
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  Where the remaining votes are
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Author Topic: Where the remaining votes are  (Read 214 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,123
United States


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E: -2.77, S: -8.78

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« on: November 05, 2020, 12:44:14 PM »

Looking at the NYT's current data:

Arizona:
Current margin: Biden +68,390
Votes left to count: 470,000
Trump needs: 57%

Nevada:
Current margin: Biden +11,787
Votes left to count: 180,000
Trump needs: 54%

Pennsylvania:
Current margin: Trump +115,069
Votes left to count: 560,000
Trump needs: 40%

Georgia:
Current margin: Trump +14,100
Votes left to count: 100,000
Trump needs: 43%

North Carolina:
Current margin: Trump +76,737
Votes left to count: 290,000
Trump needs: 37%

I might post occasional updates as more results come in.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2020, 12:46:40 PM »

thank you, i was looking for this
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2020, 01:00:15 PM »

Georgia SOS's spokesperson said there were only 61,000 left in Georgia hours ago, so presumably it's less??
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2020, 01:01:22 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 01:24:47 PM by America is Broken »

Current electoral vote if all counting stopped: Biden 270, Trump 268

Current raw votes needed to change the result: 11,498 (NV) *

* I don't have the margin for NE-02, which might be smaller
EDIT: NE-02 is 20,686
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2020, 01:06:51 PM »

Georgia SOS's spokesperson said there were only 61,000 left in Georgia hours ago, so presumably it's less??

My source

Looking at the reported tallies, 61,000 looks more accurate than the NYT number. If that is the case, Trump only needs 39%, not 43%

Hopefully NYT will update their estimates soon.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 89,470
Jamaica
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2020, 01:10:41 PM »

It comes down to AZ, PA, NV and NEB 2 Elector if Biden comes up short in PA, Trump is gonna pressure NEB 2 delegate to vote Trump if Biden only wins 270EC votes
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Tekken_Guy
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P P P
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2020, 01:11:02 PM »

Do you have projected margins with mail-ins?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2020, 01:24:29 PM »

Do you have projected margins with mail-ins?

I assume the numbers counted and remaining include mail-ins ballots.
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