Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Mr. Morden]

Why can't the democrats learn how to play hardball "You elect a rapist, we keep are wrongly accused senators"

Dumping Franken *is* hardball.  They're dumping a Senator from their own party because he became a political liability.  Keeping a Senator even though he's a liability would mean going soft.

[Mr. Morden]

How much did exit polls overestimate Kerry by...?

Those were early/mid-afternoon unauthorized leaks of the exit polls, which weren't being weighted properly.  After that fiasco, the exit polling consortium changed their methodology so that none of the networks had any access to exit poll #s until 5pm Eastern.  Thus, it doesn't make sense to compare the current exits with the 2004 afternoon leaks.  The more appropriate comparison would be comparing to Clinton vs. Trump last year.

[Mr. Morden]

Here’s the CNN video on the exit polls:

https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/940707597396729857

Are allegations against Moore true?

definitely true 26%
probably true 23%
probably false 29%
definitely false 16%

Was it an important factor in deciding your vote?
yes 40%
no 55%

[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/940715224671408128

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[Mr. Morden]

CNN exit poll

49.5% Moore
48.5% Jones

Yep.  Here's the full exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/election/2017/results/alabama-senate?q=2017embed

[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/alweaver22/status/940794703292878848

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[Mr. Morden]

Bill Kristol predicted all this in August:

https://twitter.com/BillKristol/status/895962020687880192

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