German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread
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  German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread
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Author Topic: German Federal Election - Sept. 24 - Results Thread  (Read 30303 times)
Oryxslayer
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« Reply #50 on: September 24, 2017, 09:37:24 AM »


Thats CDU territory at the national level...no?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #51 on: September 24, 2017, 09:39:21 AM »


14/16 states voted for CDU/CSU the last time, only Hamburg and Bremen for the SPD.

But the SPD is usually pretty strong in Rheinland-Pfalz as well.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #52 on: September 24, 2017, 09:39:41 AM »

EuropeElects has a turnout prognosis of 80%, but not clear whose made it and what it is based on.

Is that a legitimate thing or is it just someone with Twitter?
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #53 on: September 24, 2017, 09:41:56 AM »

Is there any site on the list that will show the results on a map as they come in?

Will this site http://wahlatlas.net/btw/17/   do that?
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DavidB.
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« Reply #54 on: September 24, 2017, 09:46:54 AM »

EuropeElects has a turnout prognosis of 80%, but not clear whose made it and what it is based on.

Is that a legitimate thing or is it just someone with Twitter?
Usually very informed. But I don't know if this is reliable or not.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #55 on: September 24, 2017, 09:48:05 AM »


14/16 states voted for CDU/CSU the last time, only Hamburg and Bremen for the SPD.

But the SPD is usually pretty strong in Rheinland-Pfalz as well.

Yes I know the CDU  won everywhere. I am asking because in 2013,  the CDU matched their national vote there and in 2009, they overpreformed in pfalz compared to the nation.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #56 on: September 24, 2017, 09:51:35 AM »

Is there any site on the list that will show the results on a map as they come in?

Will this site http://wahlatlas.net/btw/17/   do that?

Bloomberg has a nice map for us english speakers, I assume it will be updated as the votes come in.

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-german-election-results/
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #57 on: September 24, 2017, 09:55:51 AM »

The official results site is usually decent. Elsewhere results are usually presented very clearly on www.election.de
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #58 on: September 24, 2017, 09:59:24 AM »

The turnout reports are increasingly showing similar results ... up by around 6-8% on average.

So, that would be 78-80% in the end - which would be back to 2005 levels.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #59 on: September 24, 2017, 10:03:02 AM »

Saxony; 2013: 47.5%
             2017: 56.2%
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/911968343162327045
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DavidB.
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« Reply #60 on: September 24, 2017, 10:04:03 AM »

Germany (Mecklenburg-Vorpommern): Turnout 1600 CEST:

2013: 51%
2017: 61%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #61 on: September 24, 2017, 10:04:11 AM »

It looks like virtually everyone is voting today in Munich ... WTF ?

80% turnout at 4pm, with 2 hours to go ...

A voter-list (I guess W stands for Wahlkarte => postal ballot):

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DavidB.
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« Reply #62 on: September 24, 2017, 10:06:18 AM »

Turnout is still relatively low in Niedersachsen.

Germany (Lower Saxony): Turnout 1600 CEST:

2013: 65%
2017: 63.3%
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Bumaye
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« Reply #63 on: September 24, 2017, 10:07:33 AM »

I thought this election was boring?  Why is turnout so damn high?
 
  
It's the combination of people protest voting against the current political standstill (AfD, Linke, PARTEI) and the fear of a major AfD victory I'd say. We saw this in the Netherlands already where people flocked to the polling stations to stop the PVV from finishing first.  
  
 
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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« Reply #64 on: September 24, 2017, 10:10:45 AM »


14/16 states voted for CDU/CSU the last time, only Hamburg and Bremen for the SPD.

But the SPD is usually pretty strong in Rheinland-Pfalz as well.

Rhineland-Palatinate is the only "Americanized" Land in terms of election. It has been an SPD stronghold in statewide elections since 1993, but countrywide it overwhelmingly votes CDU; only in 1998 a narrow plurality voted SPD.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #65 on: September 24, 2017, 10:14:36 AM »

Is there anything in Munich today that would explain the rise in turnout ?

79.8% with 2 hours to go. That is up by 16.6% compared with 2013 (!!!).
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Lotuslander
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« Reply #66 on: September 24, 2017, 10:35:50 AM »

Europe Elects -

Germany, ARD exit poll:

Merkel (CDU-EPP): 52%
Schulz (SPD-S&D): 33%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #67 on: September 24, 2017, 10:38:05 AM »

Stuttgart is heading for 80% turnout, after 77% last time:

http://www.stuttgarter-nachrichten.de/inhalt.bundestagswahl-wahlbeteiligung-steigt-auch-in-stuttgart.d584cbfb-8e09-4eb0-9cbe-72ba00c70377.html
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
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« Reply #68 on: September 24, 2017, 10:40:16 AM »

Is there anything in Munich today that would explain the rise in turnout ?

79.8% with 2 hours to go. That is up by 16.6% compared with 2013 (!!!).

Maybe all PARTEI members have moved to Munich. Tongue
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Helsinkian
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« Reply #69 on: September 24, 2017, 10:40:54 AM »

Europe Elects -

Germany, ARD exit poll:

Merkel (CDU-EPP): 52%
Schulz (SPD-S&D): 33%

Lolwut
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Kamala
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« Reply #70 on: September 24, 2017, 10:41:59 AM »

(semi-jokingly hopes that this massive increase in turnout is all voting for the Greens)
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palandio
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« Reply #71 on: September 24, 2017, 10:42:41 AM »

Is there anything in Munich today that would explain the rise in turnout ?

79.8% with 2 hours to go. That is up by 16.6% compared with 2013 (!!!).

A rise in turnout of these dimensions would mean a disproportionate rise where turnout had been low in 2013, i.e. the least rich quarters of Munich like Neuperlach, Hasenbergl, Harthof, etc.
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ZuWo
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« Reply #72 on: September 24, 2017, 10:44:05 AM »

As usual when he's doing the pre-election broadcast, ARD's Jörg Schönenborn's words reveal quite a lot if you read between the lines: While he obviously didn't cite any specific figures, he just suggested that we might need to rethink the definition of the word "grand" with regards to the term "Grand Coalition" and this election's results. This seems to imply a very strong AfD and a very weak SPD performance in my view.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #73 on: September 24, 2017, 10:48:53 AM »

As usual when he's doing the pre-election broadcast, ARD's Jörg Schönenborn's words reveal quite a lot if you read between the lines: While he obviously didn't cite any specific figures, he just said that we might need to rethink the definition of the word "grand" with regards to the term "Grand Coalition" and this election's results. This seems to suggest a very strong AfD and a very weak SPD performance in my view.

You can receive ARD in Switzerland?

And yes, I thought very often that I could interpret something into Schönenborn's words, and in hindsight I had read between the lines quite rightly...

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jaichind
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« Reply #74 on: September 24, 2017, 10:49:58 AM »

All this anti-AfD talk might be positive for AfD.   Nixon once said "if you about a stop X movement, put you money on X"
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