Official US 2010 Census Results (user search)
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Author Topic: Official US 2010 Census Results  (Read 229084 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: February 18, 2011, 01:51:20 AM »

Non Hispanic whites went from 52.4% to 45.3% while Hispanics went from 32% to 37.6%, if these trends continue then by the next census Texas will be Hispanic plurality.

Is this going to make Republican gerrymandering harder or it won't have much of an effect overall?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2011, 03:45:40 PM »

Non Hispanic whites went from 52.4% to 45.3% while Hispanics went from 32% to 37.6%, if these trends continue then by the next census Texas will be Hispanic plurality.

Is this going to make Republican gerrymandering harder or it won't have much of an effect overall?

Are you talking about now, or in the future?  It might actually make things easier now, but you need to see how the numbers hit.  As for the future, well, you're guess is as good as mine.  The numbers kind of speak for themselves.

For now of course, nobody knows what happens in ten years.

Also, not that Texas has become a minority-majority state, does that mean that the DOJ can ask that almost half of its districts be VRA?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2011, 12:09:48 PM »

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: March 22, 2011, 12:58:55 PM »

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.
This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

Yeah, that's what I meant. How can you maintain two VRA districts when there is barely enough population for one?
And is there a big and homogenous enough pool of black voters somewhere nearby to make up for the losses?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: March 26, 2011, 10:16:08 AM »

New York state's Hispanic Black population rose by 44%, to almost 300k. Almost a quarter of the national Hispanic Black population is in New York state.

Are Haitians considered Hispanics?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2011, 11:46:26 AM »

Arabs and Persians are counted as Asians?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2011, 01:37:55 PM »

So I guess that when we talk about Asians, we talk about people from the Far East (China, Japan, Korea, Indonesia, etc.) and from the Indian subcontinent.
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