AR: Gov. Beebe not likely to run for another office after 2014

[smoltchanov]

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...

[smoltchanov]

IMHO - expected. He has good career, spanning decades, and, on the other hand, Arkansas becomes more and more difficult to win even for relatively conservative Democrat. Except few black majority and some other liberal areas (Little Rock, Fayetvtille) it will soon become an Eastern Texas...

that's too generous. Even in Texas, the democrats have a good electoral safety net (central SA, most of Houston, South Dallas, Central Fort Worth, El Paso and all of south Texas). Democrats in Arkansas have a much lower floor.

That's exactly the reason that i spoke about (rural) East Texas, not the Texas as whole in my comparison. How many Democratic state legislators are now elected from rural East Texas districts? Zero, as far as i know)))

[smoltchanov]

This article from after Tim Griffin's RNC speech suggests that he'll run statewide in 2014, more likely for Governor though.

Either way, McDaniel and Pryor would still be favored in their respective contests. Also, with Griffin taking the plunge, Halter could run for his open seat.

May be i am wrong, but it's my feeling that, aside from liberal "base", Halter is almost universaly hated in Arkansas. He couldn't even win primary over Lincoln. And when i think about chances of such liberal candidate in more and more conservative (as of late) Arkansas - i am not optimistic))) Even im more moderate 2nd district))