Caught up on the last 2 months of the thread tonight, just wanted to point out:
Can someone give a Lean Likely Tossup type analysis of the By elections and when will they be?
After some quick research it seems like the 3 are
Safe CONSERVATIVE (likely Swing to LAB)
Safe CONSERVATIVE (likely Swing to LAB)
Lean CONSERVATIVE (SAFE Swing to LAB)
Can we please just ban him?
On a more serious note, what are the implications of this going forward assuming the results don't change? Are the Tories just going to go on, continuing to shed members until the full five-year term is up? Is there any prospect of another leadership challenge?