Did Hillary Clinton severely blunder in losing MI, WI, and PA? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 09:16:46 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
  Did Hillary Clinton severely blunder in losing MI, WI, and PA? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Did Hillary Clinton severely blunder in losing MI, WI, and PA?  (Read 1452 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,477


« on: December 09, 2017, 01:01:01 AM »
« edited: December 09, 2017, 01:03:19 AM by TML »

I do agree that Hillary made a big mistake in neglecting these states - by doing little or no campaigning in WI and MI and not focusing on working class voters in PA enough. Although most of the polls showed her with leads in these three states, this election had a greater share of undecided voters in the final days of the election than most recent elections (In fact, according to FiveThirtyEight's estimates, the share of undecided voters on Election Day 2016 exceeded 10%, which was the first time that has happened since 1996). Thus, her leads in the polls were in fact vulnerable to being wiped out by late-breaking voters, especially since the polls indicated that her vote share was less than 50%. Looking back, I think the correct strategy in these states would have been to campaign there to try to get her own vote share in the polls to ~50% or better (which would have been virtually safe from late-breaking voters for her opponent).
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 11 queries.