Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET) (user search)
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  Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic WV primary + NE fake contest results thread (1st polls close @7:30ET)  (Read 17316 times)
Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: May 10, 2016, 07:52:26 PM »

How important is Charlseton for the final outcome of the Dem Primary?

Not very if the rest of the state goes the other way.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2016, 08:26:21 PM »

So... looking back, how did Hillary win SW PA?
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2016, 09:03:29 PM »

I bet Hillary has a good chance of winning in my state.

I'm thinking this too if the Nebraska primary is any indication. I'd love a map of the Democratic primary though, every site just has the Democratic caucus and GOP primary results.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2016, 09:07:06 PM »

I bet Hillary has a good chance of winning in my state.

South Dakota? No. The only reason Hillary is winning Nebraska is because it awarded 0 delegates, so Bernie's campaign had no reason to care.

Turnout is about to be higher than the caucus  with only a quarter of precincts reporting though. So even though Sanders' campaign didn't care, the Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters of Nebraska did care about this primary more than the caucus.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2016, 09:26:35 PM »

This is an election forum, why is it so weird to be interested in a state that held both a primary and a caucus, especially when the results of both are dramatically different?
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Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #5 on: May 10, 2016, 09:46:14 PM »

Looks like Nebraska might end at around 55-45.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2016, 10:42:38 PM »

What..? Screwed over by superdelegates? Clinton's ahead by 3 million votes and about 280-odd delegates over Sanders. In no definition of the word has Sanders been screwed over by superdelegates.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,765
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #7 on: May 11, 2016, 12:29:27 AM »

Benchmark is predicting Hillary wins in a squeaker in OR. LOL, looks like they're looking into the NE beauty contest a little too much.

On Twitter, they said that they put that Clinton +14 outlier poll into consideration in their model, so that's probably why.
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