Chow *may* win if she runs again, and I hear an NDP MPP will be running in Beaches-East York, so she could win as well. Although I wouldn't bet on it. Layton will win his seat in a landslide, Dennis Mills is not running again.
It's a former MPP in Beaches-East York, but yep the NDP have a very good chance at picking that one up. No Mills means Layton wins big... as for Chow, I suspect she might squeak it this time round.
But the NDP's best chances for gains in Ontario are outside Toronto IMO.
She's not the former MPP, she's the current MPP
. Her name is Marilyn Churley and she is the MPP from neighbouring Toronto-Danforth (held by Layton). It could go NDP, but I think Churley would be wise to stay put in the OLA.
In my opinion, the NDP can only gain big in BC and Ontario, and if you look at the 20 closest ridings where they lost 9 were in BC and 6 were in Ontario. 4 were in Saskatchewan too, and the only one outside of these provinces was Western Arctic, which could go any direction,