Who's likely to win the 2016 GOP South Carolina primary?

[Maistre]

I think South Carolina will be the first real opportunity for Marco Rubio to shine. Walker will primarily focus on Iowa and Florida, Christie will focus on New Hampshire and Florida, Paul will be heavy in all four states, and Rubio will try to focus on the more traditional GOP voters in the south.

I strongly object to you identifying "traditional GOP voters" as socially conservative Southerners.

As for the OP, I'd guess Cruz or Rubio.

Hey man, like us or not, your stuck with us.